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RE: [RT] Bonds



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Just 
trying to figure out what senerio would make the equities go down to retest and 
bonds to roll over as suggested on the prev chart. If the fed only cut 1/4 then 
equities will be disapointed in the short term and head for the retest and bonds 
would soften as the cycle may be close to ending. just thinking and typing. any 
other thoughts

  <FONT face=Tahoma 
  size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Don Ewers 
  [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 11:17 
  AMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] 
  BondsDorthy,In the FWIW department the short term 
  count on the 60min chart in AGET (andthe 5/17 oscillator) indicated a 
  further move up which materialized today itwould appear. Attached is a 
  60min chart with the first two hours todayshowing the  prices rallied 
  up to the MOB so far today?I will update the daily and weekly after 
  todays fed move, to see if thereare any good indications the higher level 
  MOB's there are possible.Point being when this thing has run its 
  course it will be a great short withall this stimulus?don 
  ewers----- Original Message -----From: "Don Ewers" 
  <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To: "Real Traders" 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 1:48 
  PMSubject: [RT] Bonds> Dorthy,> You have repeatly 
  mentioned that you thought DEc bonds will reach 98(which> I would 
  tend to agree with direction wise, once the apparent market 
  lowsare> in).> But before that happens, is it possible the 
  bonds go higher, first?>> Attached is what AGET is showing 
  currently.>> The 60min, I went to "short term count" and the 
  5/17 oscillator since the> 5/35> and 10/70 oscillators have both 
  lost control (in the original count andlong> term> counts). 
  It indicates bonds are possibly headed higher and they are in a> wave 3 
  (a wave 4 correction will occur along the way at some> point). The MOB 
  above has not been reached (doesn't mean it has to, it is> just a 
  target that if reached would provide some resistance). I what if'ed> in 
  the first two hours today.>> The daily chart says 5 waves are in 
  but the MOB was not reached and ifthere> is a new count down (1? 
  and 2?) the the wave 2 went way too high?  I am> thinking that the 
  prior drop was minor wave 4 of wave 5?  So again bonds> could 
  move> higher. I what ifed in todays action so far (106-02 
  high).>> The weekly says we have yet to complete wave 5 also. 
  The MOB there is> substantially higher (off of a different pivot, the 
  old high in 1998).Looks> to me like we also> are putting in 
  a weekly inside bar.>> So just a thought, that we could move 
  higher, before we go lower.>> I would be interested in any 
  thoughts on a spike move up at least to a new> "current" high above 
  107-01 please. If a double top spike top on the> weekly's were to 
  occur, well that would be a gift for all of us (to sell),> but highly 
  unlikely, that was a LTC thing.> don 
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