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Dorthy,
In the FWIW department the short term count on the 60min chart in AGET (and
the 5/17 oscillator) indicated a further move up which materialized today it
would appear. Attached is a 60min chart with the first two hours today
showing the prices rallied up to the MOB so far today?
I will update the daily and weekly after todays fed move, to see if there
are any good indications the higher level MOB's there are possible.
Point being when this thing has run its course it will be a great short with
all this stimulus?
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Real Traders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 1:48 PM
Subject: [RT] Bonds
> Dorthy,
> You have repeatly mentioned that you thought DEc bonds will reach 98
(which
> I would tend to agree with direction wise, once the apparent market lows
are
> in).
> But before that happens, is it possible the bonds go higher, first?
>
> Attached is what AGET is showing currently.
>
> The 60min, I went to "short term count" and the 5/17 oscillator since the
> 5/35
> and 10/70 oscillators have both lost control (in the original count and
long
> term
> counts). It indicates bonds are possibly headed higher and they are in a
> wave 3 (a wave 4 correction will occur along the way at some
> point). The MOB above has not been reached (doesn't mean it has to, it is
> just a target that if reached would provide some resistance). I what if'ed
> in the first two hours today.
>
> The daily chart says 5 waves are in but the MOB was not reached and if
there
> is a new count down (1? and 2?) the the wave 2 went way too high? I am
> thinking that the prior drop was minor wave 4 of wave 5? So again bonds
> could move
> higher. I what ifed in todays action so far (106-02 high).
>
> The weekly says we have yet to complete wave 5 also. The MOB there is
> substantially higher (off of a different pivot, the old high in 1998).
Looks
> to me like we also
> are putting in a weekly inside bar.
>
> So just a thought, that we could move higher, before we go lower.
>
> I would be interested in any thoughts on a spike move up at least to a new
> "current" high above 107-01 please. If a double top spike top on the
> weekly's were to occur, well that would be a gift for all of us (to sell),
> but highly unlikely, that was a LTC thing.
> don ewers
>
>
>
>
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>
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>
>
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