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I believe the concern that will prevent much further rally on bonds is all
the spending from 911... no only the airline bail out but also added costs
of military and building up security throughout the country..... also if
Greenspan eases 1/2 which most expect today some fear going too far which
can come back and bite us fears of inflation.. personally I think there is
more concern for deflation but perception is what moves the market.. any
continued move down in US$ from here would also bring in foreign sellers
again. At this point... I would want to see the downside target
reinstated.. The upside target was given prior to downside target.... I
was expecting the target to be met by Sept 20th the 911 event may have
delayed that target being met... so will be intersting to watch over the
next few days in response to FED's move today.. to see if these targets are
met or if we get SELL THE NEWS @ 2:15PM..
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 11:17 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds
> Dorthy,
> In the FWIW department the short term count on the 60min chart in AGET
(and
> the 5/17 oscillator) indicated a further move up which materialized today
it
> would appear. Attached is a 60min chart with the first two hours today
> showing the prices rallied up to the MOB so far today?
>
> I will update the daily and weekly after todays fed move, to see if there
> are any good indications the higher level MOB's there are possible.
>
> Point being when this thing has run its course it will be a great short
with
> all this stimulus?
> don ewers
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: "Real Traders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 1:48 PM
> Subject: [RT] Bonds
>
>
> > Dorthy,
> > You have repeatly mentioned that you thought DEc bonds will reach 98
> (which
> > I would tend to agree with direction wise, once the apparent market lows
> are
> > in).
> > But before that happens, is it possible the bonds go higher, first?
> >
> > Attached is what AGET is showing currently.
> >
> > The 60min, I went to "short term count" and the 5/17 oscillator since
the
> > 5/35
> > and 10/70 oscillators have both lost control (in the original count and
> long
> > term
> > counts). It indicates bonds are possibly headed higher and they are in a
> > wave 3 (a wave 4 correction will occur along the way at some
> > point). The MOB above has not been reached (doesn't mean it has to, it
is
> > just a target that if reached would provide some resistance). I what
if'ed
> > in the first two hours today.
> >
> > The daily chart says 5 waves are in but the MOB was not reached and if
> there
> > is a new count down (1? and 2?) the the wave 2 went way too high? I am
> > thinking that the prior drop was minor wave 4 of wave 5? So again bonds
> > could move
> > higher. I what ifed in todays action so far (106-02 high).
> >
> > The weekly says we have yet to complete wave 5 also. The MOB there is
> > substantially higher (off of a different pivot, the old high in 1998).
> Looks
> > to me like we also
> > are putting in a weekly inside bar.
> >
> > So just a thought, that we could move higher, before we go lower.
> >
> > I would be interested in any thoughts on a spike move up at least to a
new
> > "current" high above 107-01 please. If a double top spike top on the
> > weekly's were to occur, well that would be a gift for all of us (to
sell),
> > but highly unlikely, that was a LTC thing.
> > don ewers
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >
> >
> >
> > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
> >
> >
>
>
> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
>
>
>
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