|
PureBytes Links
Trading Reference Links
|
Today potentially sets up as a good "news reversal trade" day. Once the
reaction occurs (SP's or bonds) and assuming they are not wipping all over,
a trade back to the price point before the news event would be an indication
to go with it.
Example the fed cuts a 1/4 point and bonds sell off a 1/2 point. If they
trade back to the level before the cut, consider a long. Same would go for
the SP's since it would indicate something else "may be afoot"?
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 10:41 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds
I think you will see sell the news either way as 1/2 pt is priced in
already.. also key to watch the US$... once it rolls over which it
surely could again you will see foreign sellers come in again on long
end... with concerns of USA going into deficit spending you are seeing
the pros move to short end.. and Swissy is safe haven vs US$ in war
time..
so plenty reason to be nervous about this leg up in bonds.... while it
is possible they go a bit further... I don't have vol from yesterday but
would guess this rally continues on lite vol which would be caution
sign...
----- Original Message -----
From: Lee Morris <mailto:LMorris@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 11:32 AM
Subject: RE: [RT] Bonds
Just trying to figure out what senerio would make the equities go down
to retest and bonds to roll over as suggested on the prev chart. If the
fed only cut 1/4 then equities will be disapointed in the short term and
head for the retest and bonds would soften as the cycle may be close to
ending. just thinking and typing. any other thoughts
-----Original Message-----
From: Don Ewers [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 11:17 AM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds
Dorthy,
In the FWIW department the short term count on the 60min chart in AGET
(and
the 5/17 oscillator) indicated a further move up which materialized
today it
would appear. Attached is a 60min chart with the first two hours today
showing the prices rallied up to the MOB so far today?
I will update the daily and weekly after todays fed move, to see if
there
are any good indications the higher level MOB's there are possible.
Point being when this thing has run its course it will be a great short
with
all this stimulus?
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Real Traders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 1:48 PM
Subject: [RT] Bonds
> Dorthy,
> You have repeatly mentioned that you thought DEc bonds will reach 98
(which
> I would tend to agree with direction wise, once the apparent market
lows
are
> in).
> But before that happens, is it possible the bonds go higher, first?
>
> Attached is what AGET is showing currently.
>
> The 60min, I went to "short term count" and the 5/17 oscillator since
the
> 5/35
> and 10/70 oscillators have both lost control (in the original count
and
long
> term
> counts). It indicates bonds are possibly headed higher and they are in
a
> wave 3 (a wave 4 correction will occur along the way at some
> point). The MOB above has not been reached (doesn't mean it has to, it
is
> just a target that if reached would provide some resistance). I what
if'ed
> in the first two hours today.
>
> The daily chart says 5 waves are in but the MOB was not reached and if
there
> is a new count down (1? and 2?) the the wave 2 went way too high? I
am
> thinking that the prior drop was minor wave 4 of wave 5? So again
bonds
> could move
> higher. I what ifed in todays action so far (106-02 high).
>
> The weekly says we have yet to complete wave 5 also. The MOB there is
> substantially higher (off of a different pivot, the old high in 1998).
Looks
> to me like we also
> are putting in a weekly inside bar.
>
> So just a thought, that we could move higher, before we go lower.
>
> I would be interested in any thoughts on a spike move up at least to a
new
> "current" high above 107-01 please. If a double top spike top on the
> weekly's were to occur, well that would be a gift for all of us (to
sell),
> but highly unlikely, that was a LTC thing.
> don ewers
>
>
>
>
> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/ <http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/>
>
>
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service
<http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/> .
Yahoo! Groups Sponsor
ADVERTISEMENT
<http://us.adserver.yahoo.com/l?M=168643.1620686.3168692.1261774/D=egrou
pmail/S=1705001779:HM/A=799560/rand=958332451>
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service
<http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/> .
------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~-->
FREE COLLEGE MONEY
CLICK HERE to search
600,000 scholarships!
http://us.click.yahoo.com/Pv4pGD/4m7CAA/ySSFAA/zMEolB/TM
---------------------------------------------------------------------~->
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
|