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We'll see.....I
am saying a "good" (I know that is not specific) outcome from the Iraqi
situation (winning a war, Hussein in exile, oil prices falling, Bin Laden
captured, etc) will cause a huge rally.
That's
all.
Technicals won't
tell you this.....until AFTER it happens.
Common-sense,
human thought, recollection of historical events, and some intuition come into
play here.
<FONT color=#0000ff
size=2>
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Dom Perrino
[mailto:acutimer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Tuesday, January 28, 2003 9:46
AMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT]
NDX_60m
Markets do not go( based on these events) as we
would logically expect the markets to go. Its not that markets do
not react to these events, all I am saying is that I look to the Market to
tell me where its going( via charts, technicals etc.) not the events.
Hope this clarifies.
Dom
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
M.
Simms
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Tuesday, January 28, 2003 9:09
AM
Subject: RE: [RT] NDX_60m
Be careful
with that "OR" condition in there....<SPAN
class=710330314-28012003>as-stated, you are
correct.
But I am
implying an "IF-THEN" correlation:
IF the market
is down to new lows, THEN the US is having trouble with
Iraq.
or in
reverse:
IF the US is
having trouble with Iraq, THEN the market will go down to new
lows
<FONT color=#0000ff
size=2>
I don't agree
these events are INDEPENDENT of EACH OTHER....that's the
key.
<FONT color=#0000ff
size=2>
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Dom Perrino
[mailto:acutimer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003
10:31 PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re:
[RT] NDX_60m
no. we cannot predetermine that if market
moves up or down that certain events will
occur.
----- Original Message -----
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
<DIV
>From:
<A title=prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">M. Simms
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003 9:47
PM
Subject: RE: [RT] NDX_60m
Sounds
like we are going to lose to Sadaam then ?
<FONT color=#0000ff
size=2>right.
<FONT color=#0000ff
size=2>
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Dom Perrino
[mailto:acutimer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Monday, January 27,
2003 8:30 PMTo: <A
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject:
Re: [RT] NDX_60m
Forgot to mention that the outcome, even
if we have short term rally, will be to the downside Below the
lows of last Oct.
Dom
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=acutimer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">Dom Perrino
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003
8:18 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] NDX_60m
Hi,
My crystal ball agrees with your
scenario 100%.
Dom
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=thegirlisherenow@xxxxxxxxx
href="">victoria keeling
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Monday, January 27,
2003 5:53 PM
Subject: [RT] NDX_60m
okay, it's a wrap...will support hold? two guys I respect a lot
[larry pesavento and bob carver] are both very bullish as of
today...while I am not sold yet, I have to concede that this game
is always full of surprises. a final thrust up would likely catch
the most traders with their pants down...and that being the
biggest joke the mkt likes to play, it could very well happen. but
first things first...in spite of all the super-duper techniques we
have to forecast direction, price always has the final word...and
what it's saying right now is not decisive, either way...teetering
on the precipice as it is.
the attached chart shows my bottom-line litmus test and it is a
simple one...a swing low printed on the hourly chart today
(actually printed in the first hour and then dropped lower still
as the day progressed!) must be confirmed...and it
ain't happened yet! I want to see the RSI up--straight as an
arrow--to convince me that we really have this swing low in
place. it simply does not fail if we're gonna get more that a
25-30 pt move.....which is fine, but I'm not daytrading right
now so I'm personally looking for a more sustainable move.
a final note: the mkt has been reacting to war drums for the
past 2 weeks...even if GW says he's going in personally to off
sadam, we could get a small relief rally this week, just because
the tension will break...that's all I can forsee in the bullish
scenario--the possibility of higher prices from which to go
short!
anyway...blah-blah-blah...here's the chart...
V
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