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Re: [RT] DJIA - the next 4 years



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I am a great believer in the concept that history 
repeats itself
and have spent many moons developing software that 
will allow
me to examine where we are today relative to what 
has happened
in the past.
 
I've attached a monthly analysis of the Dow-Jones 
Industrials 
which uses data from 1921 for 
analysis.
 
As noted on the chart, there is only one situation 
prior to the
present and near present where the  06 pattern 
sequence has
occurred.
 
That does not make for high probability prediction 
but it is
something that I believe we need to look 
at.
 
Clyde
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -Clyde 
Lee   
Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
SwingMachine)SYTECH 
Corporation          email: <A 
href="">clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx  7910 
Westglen, Suite 105       
Office:    (713) 783-9540Houston,  TX  
77063               
Fax:    (713) 783-1092Details 
at:                      
www.theswingmachine.com- - - - 
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - - -
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  ira 

  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Tuesday, January 28, 2003 10:47 
  AM
  Subject: Re: [RT] DJIA - the next 4 
  years
  
  Nothing wrong with cycles.  It is just that 
  you don't know if the next low will be above or below the current low.  
  The cycles can be perfect in ascending, descending or horizontal price 
  patterns.  Four years from now the next low could be at 1000 or at 12,000 
  and no one that I know of living or dead could say it can't happen or that it 
  will be any of the points in between.  Any guess of where the next 4 year 
  low will be is just that a guess.  There are just to many variables that 
  can occur which could effect the resulting price action.  
Ira
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    Stan Book 
    
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">Realtraders 
    Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003 8:25 
    PM
    Subject: Re: [RT] DJIA - the next 4 
    years
    
     A number of intelligent folks equate the 2000 
    top with the 1929 top. Ittook a quarter century for the DJIA to exceed 
    the '29 high, and a decade anda half to convinvingly break out above the 
    1000 ceiling after the '66 
top.






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