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What you're saying about Japan is correct. Tokyo is hustlin' and
bustlin'. But I've read that even during the Great Depression,
things were relatively OK in the major cities here.
--- In realtraders@xxxx, "Joe Duffy" <joeduffy@xxxx> wrote:
> Additionally many here seem to think Japan has been in this decade
long
> depression. The reality as I hear it is life goes on quite well
there, at
> least from talking to people who work there --- and that goes for
the
> nationals not just the ex-pats in the banking industry I know.
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Daniel Goncharoff" <thegonch@xxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> Sent: Friday, September 20, 2002 12:35 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
>
>
> > Your use of the word 'panic' followed in another message by
extensive
> > use of caps leads me to believe you have an opinion. If there is
> > anything I have learned from lurking on this list over the years,
it is
> > to not have a strong opinion, because it makes it emotionally
difficult
> > to trade.
> >
> > You also seem to place a lot of meaning on the shape of the yield
curve,
> > and seem to think that the US economy is heading into a situation
like
> > Japan. The deep decline in Japan's market can be attributed to a
real
> > estate bubble that greatly exaggerated the valuation of 'blue
chip'
> > companies in that market. It has taken a decade and more to wash
that
> > overvaluation out of that market, and there is still a state of
denial
> > in the banking sector there. The US is not in a situation
anything like
> > what happened in Japan. While there may still be too much
optimism in
> > stocks prices in the US today, I don't see any historical
similarity
> > except the overall level of interest rates. The size of the
bubble in
> > both real estate and the stock market was much greater than
anything
> > present so far in the US economy.
> >
> > Regards
> > DanG
> >
> > "M. Simms" wrote:
> > >
> > > NO WAY !!! IF SO, HELLO JA-PAN !!! HELLO "DEAD FLAT YIELD
CURVE".....
> > > JAPAN ECONOMY DEJA VUE....
> > > and the experts are saying "IT CAN'T HAPPEN, IT CAN'T
HAPPEN" !!!
> > >
> > > Does this spell the death of capitalism ?
> > >
> > > > -----Original Message-----
> > > > From: profitok [mailto:profitok@x...]
> > > > Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2002 10:31 PM
> > > > To: realtraders@xxxx
> > > > Cc: gannsghost@xxxx
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > we STILL have much more to go on the upside,,
> > > > June 2003 contract to reach 119 by 3 2003
> > > > Ben
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxx>
> > > > To: "RealtradersList" <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2002 10:09 PM
> > > > Subject: [RT] 10 year note near 40 year highs ?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Is that correct ?
> > > > > In that case we could start approaching that Japan-like
yield
> > > > curve where
> > > > > everything flattens out between a rate of zero and 2
percent.
> > > > >
> > > > > Beware of a Fed INTRADAY rate cut in case of a market
panic !
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > > > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxx
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
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> > > >
> > > >
> > >
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> > >
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> > >
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> > >
> > >
> > >
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> >
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> >
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> >
> >
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