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Yuki,
these timing systems try to immitate the market behavior and the
great movers restrictions/plans[buy every X/sell every Y bars]
We know that new plans are activated by the new year and [probably]
have a yearly perspective.
For the specific Nikkei, it is obvious that the plans/targets for
2004 [and the way they will try to reach these targets] are quite
different than the respective plans one year ago.
The first peak/trough of the year will give the rhythm of the market.
[It seems more reasonable to me to check the recent rhythm than the
rhythms of the last year].
>From my N100 studies, it would be much better to use each year rhythm
for 14-16 months and then following more fresh rhythms.
The last year rhythms may continue in an independent trading project,
the IP period is quite short [17 bars] and will smell without delay
the upcoming champion.
Dimitris Tsokakis
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Yuki Taga <yukitaga@xxxx> wrote:
> Hi DIMITRIS,
>
> Monday, January 19, 2004, 5:24:36 PM, you wrote:
>
> DT> Yuki,
> DT> The new code will place the arrows the very same bar they
appear and
> DT> is independent of AA settings [delay +1].
>
> Nice, DT. Thanks for the goodies -- as usual. Even unusual
goodies.
> ^^_^^
>
> DT> Another interesting point : We are in 2004. We should discover
> DT> the first significant peak/trough of the year [??] to build up
> DT> the Nikkei 2004 timing code, then give it 5months and begin the
> DT> new IP for the new year.
>
> Well . . . this brings up the (to me, anyway) obvious question of:
If
> this is a self-adjusting system, why would we ever need to start
over
> with a clean slate? Why would we not expect this system to remain
> good for the entire year? I'm confused, but then . . . I'm easy to
> confuse. ^_-
>
> Best,
>
> Yuki
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