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Re: [RT] Hurst Long Term Cycles



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Thanks for the explination, It makes your work a little clearer to me. 
Ira.
Clyde Lee wrote:
 Ira,
Low or High math achiever does not matter.
What I present here is ONE APPROACH to
a method of detecting when and ifcycles are at the beginning and/or end
and/or somewhere inbetween in theirperiod. Instead
of taking years and years of data (the years and years was simply toestablish
that there were valid cycles in the data) to estimate what the CURRENTposition
of the cycle is I use only the LAST FOUR periods of the selected cyclefor
the current estimate. That
slides along from bar to bar and other than shortening that to one cycle(which
would be unstable) it allows for a relatively current estimate of theposition
of the selected cycle. If
you carefully look at the 55 bar cycle you will note that it really does
vary inlength by quite a bit as time passes.  This leads me to believe
that 55 is justan analytic expression of a much more complex wave arrangement
in the55 bar zone. The 42
bar analysis shows considerable more stability in length of cyclesand may
mean that we could count 42 bars as a nominal period. The
24 bar analysis is very stable insofar as length is concerned but suchcould
be expected as things get shorter and shorter. I
hope that everyone will understand what I am doing and that it is thebest
approach I know to trying to determine, at any given instant intime, the
current position within a selected (or near selected) cycle.
Clyde - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -
Clyde Lee   Chairman/CEO         
(Home of SwingMachine)
SYTECH Corporation         
email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
7910 Westglen, Suite 105       Office:   
(713) 783-9540
Houston,  TX  77063              
Fax:    (713) 783-1092
Details at:                    

www.theswingmachine.com
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