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Re: [RT] Re: forecasting-track record



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What is your take on XAU? 
wavewise...my GET program shows a w4 and my thought is that it could began a 
retrace or w5 to low 60's. Thanks for your thoughts in advance.
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #800080 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
  Don 
  Ewers 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 10:59 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [RT] Re: forecasting-track 
  record
  Kent,Sorry you are offended, but so tired of what 
  appears as attempt to wreck,what was a good list.Yep I am a EW-er 
  and proud of it so throw your barb's.  It helps in what Ido and  
  I amsorry you can't grasp the concept with all it's details, but itdoes 
  take some time and some study.  What are you "per se",  I have 
  noticedyou have never offered that up, just basically sarcasm, maybe a 
  Sarcasm-er?From your past posts, it could be easily be considered you 
  are not a fan ofanyone on the list  . . . so no sweat here if you are 
  "offended"?  You havequickly rose as a MB protector not only now but 
  in the past, yet profess tohave little association with him . . .right I 
  got it.We are not fools  . . . to not see what we see . . and I am 
  not the only one. . .Must be about time to trash any TA technique, 
  market opinions . . . yawn?don ewers----- Original Message 
  -----From: "Kent Rollins" <kentr@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 9:56 
  PMSubject: Re: [RT] Re: forecasting-track record> First of 
  all, I find your post personally offensive.  It doesn't 
  matterwhy> I'm offended.  That fact that I am is enough to 
  require that you changeyour> behavior.>> Secondly, to 
  answer your question, Don: how did he know you are an EW'er?> You last 
  name?  HELLO!!!>> Kent>>> ----- 
  Original Message -----> From: "Don Ewers" 
  <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>> To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 
  9:21 PM> Subject: Re: [RT] Re: forecasting-track 
  record>>> I stand corrected ahhh  . .  well . . 
  . maybe no, how did you know I wasan> EW'er since last post to that 
  was way before your first post (don't tellme> you read the 
  achives), then a "sleeper'' post, then nothing until TG> recently 
  disappeared hmmmm , your MO is unmistakable MB.  First 
  your"style> of reply" now changed (once pointed out by a list 
  member) but the "need to> respond" to anyone that posts on this list 
  with a sarcastic reply . . .nope> no mistake about it MB all the 
  way?>>> ----- Original Message -----> From: 
  "jeff97_98_1998" <jprroth@xxxxxxxxxxx>> To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 
  7:03 PM> Subject: [RT] Re: forecasting-track 
  record>>> > Nope. can't pin this one on Mark.> 
  > My mouth has been washed out with soap, for> > I have been a 
  baaad boy.> > For all the folks I have offended with my deeply 
  religious rhetoric,> > I am sorry for causing you pain and 
  suffering.> > Apparently a few nerve endings are to near the skin, 
  and my remarks> > have agitated.> > I shall refrain from 
  anything remotely controversial, and will> > now agree with every 
  rediculous statement, observation, remark,> > analysis, indicator 
  salesman,scam ,  whatever. No waves from me..> > Oops, I said 
  wave, That might be> > misinterpreted as an attack on an Elliott 
  Wave believer. sorry for> > that remark.> >> > 
  Nope, not mark brown.> >> > has been fun.....> 
  >> >> >> >> > --- In 
  realtraders@xxxx, "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxx> wrote:> > > 
  Mark is that you, formally TG . . . . ?> > >> > > 
  ----- Original Message -----> > > From: "jeff97_98_1998" 
  <jprroth@xxxx>> > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>> 
  > > Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 10:49 AM> > > Subject: 
  [RT] Re: forecasting-track record> > >> > >> 
  > > > Duke,> > > >> > > > So news 
  reports on national television, interviewing> > > > people 
  "seeing" the Virgin Mary in a rust stain,> > > > that is 
  OK.  But if I make reference to it, that is> > > > not 
  OK, blaspheme ?  A little touch of hipocracy.> > > > 
  Censorship, the Americam way.  Do you understand> > > > 
  sarcasm?  Put me on auto ignore.> > > > Non constructive 
  for you, may be constructive> > > > for anothers.  do you 
  speak for all, or is this> > > > just your opinion?  
  request that the moderator ban> > > > me. But don't ban the 
  indicator salesmen, the> > > > rediculous prognosticators and 
  their pay sites.> > > >> > > > freedom of 
  expression comes in many forms.> > > > restriction of 
  expression, wasn't that tried> > > > in a few third world 
  countries, with less than> > > > stellar results?> > 
  > >> > > > take care......> > > 
  >> > > >> > > >> > > 
  >> > > > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Duke Jones - Portfolio 
  Manager"> > > > <Duke.Jones@xxxx> wrote:> > 
  > > > Jeff,> > > > >> > > > > I 
  am a lurker on the board and I have resisted the temptation to> > 
  > > fire back a> > > > > response after a couple of 
  your emails but this last one with> > the> > > > 
  reference> > > > > to "that Mary woman" was enough.> 
  > > > >> > > > > First, lets leave personal 
  issues aside from the list as some> > of us> > > > 
  find> > > > > this extremely offensive. Secondly, most on 
  the board attempt to> > > > offer> > > > > 
  something constructive. I am not saying all are good and do not> > 
  > > warrant> > > > > criticism or challenge but in 
  your case you do nothing to> > further> > > > 
  the> > > > > discussion other than launch a few over used 
  statistical> > phrases and> > > > > satirical 
  remarks.> > > > >> > > > > Lets face 
  it.to have a truly in statistically significant system> > > > 
  the number> > > > > of observations required would be a 
  couple of lifetimes. I> > > > personally don't> > 
  > > > care to wait that long so I play the best odds my systems 
  will> > give.> > > > >> > > > 
  > Last, if I wanted to read or listen to another talking head I> 
  > would> > > > just> > > > > flip on 
  CNBC. Either offer something constructive or leave us> > 
  alone.> > > > >> > > > > Duke> 
  > > > >> > > > >> > > > 
  >> > > > > -----Original Message-----> > > 
  > > From: jeff97_98_1998 [mailto:jprroth@xxxx]> > > > 
  > Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 9:35 AM> > > > > To: 
  realtraders@xxxx> > > > > Subject: [RT] Re: 
  forecasting-track record> > > > >> > > > 
  > Karen,> > > > > I don't believe in Elliott 
  Wave,> > > > > BUT I do use a lotta Gerri Curl.> 
  > > > >> > > > > Put 20 Elliott Believers in a 
  room,> > > > > give them the same chart, and you will 
  get> > > > > 20 different wave counts.> > > 
  > >> > > > > Kinda like a Rorschach Ink Blot 
  Test.> > > > > Can also throw in a rusty water stain on a 
  chruch wall,> > > > > resembling that "Mary" woman.> 
  > > > > The mind is a terrible thing to trust.> > > 
  > >> > > > > regards,> > > > 
  >> > > > > jeff> > > > >> > 
  > > >> > > > > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Karen 
  Beckwith" <hoticetea@xxxx>> > wrote:> > > > 
  > > Jeff:> > > > > > Looking for a holy 
  grail?  Have u ever looked into the EW3> > > > 
  (Elliott> > > > > Wave)> > > > > > 
  software?  I can't find anyone who uses it, but it sounds> > 
  awfully> > > > > good.> > > > > > 
  Anyone here familiar w/ EW3?> > > > > > best 
  wishes,> > > > > > karen> > > > > 
  > ps - May the force be with you.> > > > > > 
  :>)> > > > > > :>)> > > > > 
  >> > > > > > ----- Original Message -----> 
  > > > > > From: "jeff97_98_1998" <jprroth@xxxx>> 
  > > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>> > > > 
  > > Sent: Sunday, July 07, 2002 9:50 AM> > > > > > 
  Subject: [RT] Re: forecasting-track record> > > > > 
  >> > > > > >> > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > "If one tries to fight these forces 
  they will be destroyed.> > If> > > > one> 
  > > > > > > can unite and redirect these forces to> 
  > > > > > > ones advantage, one should be able to progress 
  quite> > swiftly."> > > > > > >> 
  > > > > > >> > > > > > > Sounds 
  like a re-run of Kung Fu.> > > > > > > Grasshopper, 
  my son, be of unity with the universe.> > > > > > > 
  Now catch this fly in my soup.> > > > > > >> 
  > > > > > > Please enlighten me, how does one unite and 
  redirect these> > > > forces> > > > > 
  to> > > > > > > ones advantage?> > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > > How do I redirect a 
  drought in the midwest, terrorist attack> > > > > 
  crashing> > > > > > > the S & P , lumber import 
  regulations vs. canadian exports?> > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > Fundamentals, schmundamentals, 
  blah, blah.> > > > > > >> > > > > 
  > > I have the force, the unity, the polarity...> > > > 
  > > >> > > > > > > Beam me up Scotty,  
  for I have discovered how markets> > > > > > > 
  work,  yet I waste my time trolling for fish.> > > > > 
  > > Why is that?> > > > > > >> > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > >> > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > >> > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > >> > > 
  > > > > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Norman Winski" 
  <nwinski@xxxx>> > wrote:> > > > > > > 
  > Reinar,> > > > > > > >> > > > 
  > > > >   From one sailor to another, when one's 
  sailboat hits a> > sand> > > > > bar,> 
  > > > > > > that's> > > > > > > 
  > called running a ground and that's not a good thing.> > > 
  > > > > >> > > > > > > >  I 
  know it's time for me to take a vacation. Your sailing> > > > 
  > metaphor> > > > > > > is> > > > 
  > > > > starting to make sense to me.<G>  Seriously, I 
  agree that> > > > > sailing> > > > > 
  > > is a good> > > > > > > > analogy for 
  trading, but not for the reasons you have> > stated.> > 
  > > I> > > > > > > think> > > > 
  > > > > sailing is a good analogy for trading because in order 
  to> > be> > > > > > > successful, 
  one> > > > > > > > must join with the huge natural 
  forces at work.  If one> > tries> > > > 
  to> > > > > > > fight these> > > > 
  > > > > forces they will be destroyed. If one can unite 
  and> > redirect> > > > > these> > > 
  > > > > forces to> > > > > > > > ones 
  advantage, one should be able to progress quite> > swiftly.> 
  > > > > > > >> > > > > > > 
  >  Gann fans - the ideal position to attain maximum speed> > 
  is to> > > > > have> > > > > > > 
  the sail> > > > > > > > at a 45 degree angle to 
  the wind.> > > > > > > >> > > > 
  > > > > Nautically,> > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > Norman> > > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > > >> > 
  > > > > > >> > > > > > > > ----- 
  Original Message -----> > > > > > > > From: 
  "reinar2020" <reinar2020@xxxx>> > > > > > > 
  > To: <realtraders@xxxx>> > > > > > > > 
  Sent: Sunday, July 07, 2002 12:33 AM> > > > > > > 
  > Subject: Re: [RT] forecasting-track record> > > > > 
  > > >> > > > > > > >> > > 
  > > > > > > Elk> > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > > Not only will I continue 
  to use sailing as a metaphor> > but I> > > > > 
  will> > > > > > > > > expand the use. There are 
  several reasons. Selling> > to "the> > > > > > 
  > traders"> > > > > > > > > market is too 
  limiting and more imortant.... If you can> > > > think> 
  > > > > > > like a> > > > > > > 
  > > sailor you can think like a profitable trader......> > 
  > > > > > > >> > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > > If you have ever been 
  sailing you would know that it is> > kind> > > > 
  > of a> > > > > > > > > zen like experience 
  where you have a very specific> > focus.> > > > 
  All> > > > > the> > > > > > > 
  BS> > > > > > > > > that is provided by the 
  media etc is gone.> > > > > > > > >> 
  > > > > > > > > There are other advantages. Any monkey 
  can draw an> > Andrews> > > > > line> > 
  > > > > > and> > > > > > > > > 
  if you read his totally incomplete "free" 60 page> > lit.... 
  at> > > > > any> > > > > > > > 
  > time there are at least 20 or so that come in tomorrow.> > 
  So> > > > > which> > > > > > > 
  > > ones do you use? Rather than take the standard approach> > 
  of> > > > > here> > > > > > > 
  are> > > > > > > > > the lines .....let get 
  overwhelmed with stuff that is> > > > > 
  useless.....> > > > > > > > >> > > 
  > > > > > > I will focus upon about 3 kinds of sand bars and 
  a> > marker.> > > > > > > > > I did 
  something similar in Vienna seminars and the> > sucess> > 
  > > > rate of> > > > > > > > > the 
  students over a long time period was very high.> > > > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > > > > Focus upon 
  the chicken ( the end result.. you really> > want )> > 
  > > > not on> > > > > > > > > the 
  eggs.> > > > > > > > >> > > > 
  > > > > > We look for 4 things...> > > > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > > > > 1) sand 
  bars (support and resistance lines) where prices> > > > 
  stop> > > > > for> > > > > > > 
  a> > > > > > > > > bar or 2 and then go 
  through> > > > > > > > >> > > > 
  > > > > > 2) sand bars where prices go through and then go 
  back> > to it> > > > to> > > > > 
  > > touch> > > > > > > > > it before 
  continuing in the proper direction> > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > > (the above are very handy 
  for adding on positions or> > getting> > > > > 
  in> > > > > > > with> > > > > > 
  > > > definable risk....the other side of the sand bar line)> 
  > > > > > > > >> > > > > > > 
  > > 3) and finally sand bars that are likely to produce a> > 
  > > > tradeable> > > > > > > > > pivot 
  ....like i pointed out on thursday in an email I> > sent> 
  > > > > out.> > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > > 4) and then how to find 
  markers (probable future pivot> > > > points)> > 
  > > > > > > >> > > > > > > > 
  > Now instead of learning how to draw all of those silly> > 
  lines> > > > > you> > > > > > > 
  > > learned how to draw lines that produced the> > > > 
  > above .......wouldn't> > > > > > > > > 
  Andrews really work .....and very easily at that?> > > > > 
  > > > >> > > > > > > > > Oh by the 
  way did you ever learn what the Andrews "ROS"> > line> > 
  > > > was?> > > > > > > > > 
  Hint....its a sand bar.> > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > >> > > > 
  > > > > > Regards> > > > > > > > 
  > R> > > > > > > > >> > > > 
  > > > > >> > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > > --- In realtraders@xxxx, 
  Infernal Elk <infernalelk@xxxx>> > > > > 
  wrote:> > > > > > > > > >> > > 
  > > > > > > > >>  John either you are blind or 
  you faded the> > forecast.> > > > > > > 
  > > > >>  ...or does north mean go short to you?> 
  > > > > > > > > >> > > > > > 
  > > > > >>  R> > > > > > > 
  > > >> > > > > > > > > > maybe if 
  you spoke in market terms rather than cryptic> > > > > 
  pseudo-> > > > > > > > > poetic> > 
  > > > > > > > > "nautical" terms, people would 
  understand you.> > > > > > > > > >> 
  > > > > > > > > > if your desire is to communicate, 
  then do so> > CLEARLY.  if> > > > > 
  your> > > > > > > > > desire> > > 
  > > > > > > > is to tease and to draw people in to buy 
  your product> > > > > you'll do> > > > > 
  > > > > better> > > > > > > > > 
  > to speak clearly as well.> > > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > > > we're not 
  sailors.  we're traders.> > > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > > > - *lk> > 
  > > > > > > >> > > > > > > > 
  >> > > > > > > > >> > > > 
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