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Forgot to mention gold rallied from $330 to $410 in early 1993 while
bonds were on their way from 101-122 so they can move in tandem as
well.
--- In realtraders@xxxx, bruce.larson@xxxx wrote:
> 111.24 is near where bonds topped in 10/98. We need to go alot
> higher imho. You can probably make a case there is some
correlation
> between dollar and bonds, but I remember 1985-6, when commodities
and
> the dollar both got creamed and the bonds shot up like a bat out of
> hell. I have no view on the dollar here but feel commodities will
> remain under pressure. The same forces of 1993, investors reaching
> up the curve chasing yields, and mortgage duration extension trades
> will squeeze bond yields down. Just need further evidence of
subdued
> inflation, credit problems and buybacks.
>
> here is --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Dorothy K. Carter"
> <dorothy.carter@xxxx> wrote:
> > Re recent topping pattern.. bonds have gone down on bigger volume
> on big
> > down days than they have rallied back on up days... IF bonds are
> going to
> > break out then US$ will have to resume uptrend and volume will
have
> to pick
> > up on any break to new highs if that happens. US $ has given
> target to
> > 112.75 ala 116.15 nt so US$ action next few days maybe telling..
> IF top not
> > in bonds watch March Bonds for potential peak around 111.24.....
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 9:07 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> >
> >
> > > The price distribution still looks suspect for day session only
> data.
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 5:58 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > >
> > >
> > > > Bonds closed above this important 78% retracement today,
> however I don't
> > > > have any wave counts on which I would hang my hat because the
> 20Sep
> > > decline
> > > > was so violent and so quickly retraced. Best guess at the
> moment is that
> > > > bonds are in a W.3 and should be headed to 111 area per both
> daily and
> > > > weekly charts.
> > > >
> > > > Earl
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > Sent: Saturday, October 20, 2001 1:06 PM
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Regarding earlier comments regarding the breach of the 78%
> bullish
> > > > > retracement level there was not a daily close above this
> important
> > level
> > > > to
> > > > > confirm the breach. Failure to close above this important
> level is a
> > > clue
> > > > > that a correction may be underway.
> > > > >
> > > > > Earl
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > > > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxx
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
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> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
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> > > >
> > > >
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> > > >
> > > >
> > >
> > >
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> > >
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> > >
> > >
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