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Chris,
Here is the daily 10 year, as you suspected a wave 3 (which is a
confirmation that the wave 5 on the daily will change to a wave 3 once the
5/35 gets close to zero, the software will not change the count until then).
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: <chrischeatham@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 9:14 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> Don,
>
> Curious what aget thinks of 5s and 10s; To my eyes, looks much harder
> to call it 5 complete on these; I now think of 10s as the primary
> UST mkt.
>
> To me, eurodollars best count as 1,2 - 1,2 - in 3 -- on my 80 min.
>
> Regards,
> Chris
>
>
> --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxx> wrote:
> > It is possible everyone could be right?
> >
> > Attached are updated 60min and daily charts.
> >
> > The 60min includes the first hour today and is now has pattern
> completion
> > showing 5 waves in with the new high this morning. Now it is a
> question of
> > just how far it might go, the MOB target above being one possible
> area but
> > not a strict requirement either.
> >
> > The daily chart has today "what if'ed in" so far and it has shifted
> the wave
> > 5 top to this new high, but as I mentioned in the previous posts
> the 5/35
> > oscillator on the daily is indicating that this is likely a wave 3
> not a
> > wave 5. If true, a wave 4 will follow at some point (at which time
> the
> > "viability of a continued wave 5 up will be measured).
> >
> > So bonds could move higher in a wave 3, then go into a wave 4
> correction and
> > everyone is right . . . eventually that is?
> >
> > Crap, snowing here (laugh it up all those in warmer climates :-)
> > don ewers
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 8:24 AM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> >
> >
> > > That is what logic would suggest, but the price is probing 107^11
> with a
> > > pattern of rising lows. This is indeed an interesting development
> > > technically.
> > >
> > > bobr
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 7:09 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > >
> > >
> > > > Re recent topping pattern.. bonds have gone down on bigger
> volume on big
> > > > down days than they have rallied back on up days... IF bonds
> are going
> > to
> > > > break out then US$ will have to resume uptrend and volume will
> have to
> > > pick
> > > > up on any break to new highs if that happens. US $ has given
> target to
> > > > 112.75 ala 116.15 nt so US$ action next few days maybe
> telling.. IF top
> > > not
> > > > in bonds watch March Bonds for potential peak around
> 111.24.....
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
> > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 9:07 PM
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > The price distribution still looks suspect for day session
> only data.
> > > > >
> > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 5:58 PM
> > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > > Bonds closed above this important 78% retracement today,
> however I
> > > don't
> > > > > > have any wave counts on which I would hang my hat because
> the 20Sep
> > > > > decline
> > > > > > was so violent and so quickly retraced. Best guess at the
> moment is
> > > that
> > > > > > bonds are in a W.3 and should be headed to 111 area per
> both daily
> > and
> > > > > > weekly charts.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Earl
> > > > > >
> > > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > > > Sent: Saturday, October 20, 2001 1:06 PM
> > > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > > Regarding earlier comments regarding the breach of the
> 78% bullish
> > > > > > > retracement level there was not a daily close above this
> important
> > > > level
> > > > > > to
> > > > > > > confirm the breach. Failure to close above this important
> level is
> > a
> > > > > clue
> > > > > > > that a correction may be underway.
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > > Earl
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > >
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