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Don,
Curious what aget thinks of 5s and 10s; To my eyes, looks much harder
to call it 5 complete on these; I now think of 10s as the primary
UST mkt.
To me, eurodollars best count as 1,2 - 1,2 - in 3 -- on my 80 min.
Regards,
Chris
--- In realtraders@xxxx, "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxx> wrote:
> It is possible everyone could be right?
>
> Attached are updated 60min and daily charts.
>
> The 60min includes the first hour today and is now has pattern
completion
> showing 5 waves in with the new high this morning. Now it is a
question of
> just how far it might go, the MOB target above being one possible
area but
> not a strict requirement either.
>
> The daily chart has today "what if'ed in" so far and it has shifted
the wave
> 5 top to this new high, but as I mentioned in the previous posts
the 5/35
> oscillator on the daily is indicating that this is likely a wave 3
not a
> wave 5. If true, a wave 4 will follow at some point (at which time
the
> "viability of a continued wave 5 up will be measured).
>
> So bonds could move higher in a wave 3, then go into a wave 4
correction and
> everyone is right . . . eventually that is?
>
> Crap, snowing here (laugh it up all those in warmer climates :-)
> don ewers
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 8:24 AM
> Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>
>
> > That is what logic would suggest, but the price is probing 107^11
with a
> > pattern of rising lows. This is indeed an interesting development
> > technically.
> >
> > bobr
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 7:09 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> >
> >
> > > Re recent topping pattern.. bonds have gone down on bigger
volume on big
> > > down days than they have rallied back on up days... IF bonds
are going
> to
> > > break out then US$ will have to resume uptrend and volume will
have to
> > pick
> > > up on any break to new highs if that happens. US $ has given
target to
> > > 112.75 ala 116.15 nt so US$ action next few days maybe
telling.. IF top
> > not
> > > in bonds watch March Bonds for potential peak around
111.24.....
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 9:07 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > >
> > >
> > > > The price distribution still looks suspect for day session
only data.
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 5:58 PM
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Bonds closed above this important 78% retracement today,
however I
> > don't
> > > > > have any wave counts on which I would hang my hat because
the 20Sep
> > > > decline
> > > > > was so violent and so quickly retraced. Best guess at the
moment is
> > that
> > > > > bonds are in a W.3 and should be headed to 111 area per
both daily
> and
> > > > > weekly charts.
> > > > >
> > > > > Earl
> > > > >
> > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > > Sent: Saturday, October 20, 2001 1:06 PM
> > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > > Regarding earlier comments regarding the breach of the
78% bullish
> > > > > > retracement level there was not a daily close above this
important
> > > level
> > > > > to
> > > > > > confirm the breach. Failure to close above this important
level is
> a
> > > > clue
> > > > > > that a correction may be underway.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Earl
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
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