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I thought some might have an interest in this from another list. Thanks to
Mark Jurik for the article.
Chris
> Mark,
>
> Thanks for the most interesting article. One thing I think of is that in
> the past Saddam has moved, cognitively or otherwise, on major malefic
> planetary aspects. ( I forget what it was in 1990.) Sunday 8/5 , Pluto
is
> in exact opposition to Saturn, pretty high on the malefic scale.
Meanwhile,
> oil prices are sitting just under a downtrend line off the high, having
> approximately hit it on thu/fri. Bonds arguably ended corrections to
> downtrends last week, and possibly the stock indices as well. It all
kinda
> fits together for a blow-up.
>
> Wouldn't it be ironic if Saddam tries to get revenge on "W" for his
father's
> deeds?
>
> Chris
>
>
> >
> >
> > Events in the mideast are heating up. Attached is a
> > clipping from http://www.debka.com/
> > that discusses Iraq's recent infiltration into Jordan.
> >
> > Aside from the socio-political turmoil which we'd all
> > like to see resolved peacefully, once CNN gives this
> > full coverage, one can only guess the impact on oil futures.
> >
> > - mark
> >
> >
>
>
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------
--
> ----
>
>
> 28 July: Two days ago, DEBKAfiles weekly intelligence newsletter,
> DEBKA-Net-Weekly, in conjunction with the second largest electronic news
> site in America, World Net Daily, broke the news of Iraqi commandos in
> Jordan.
> This is undoubtedly the most important military development in the ten
> months of the Palestinian confrontation with Israel.
>
> Friday, July 27, Koenigs World Watch Daily picked up the story verified
> from a high-placed source in Amman. That source noted that certain unnamed
> forces were at pains to suppress the information.
>
> Saturday, July 28, Koenigs provided a follow-up to the DEBKA-Net-Weekly
> story. It cited the same high-placed Jordanian source as disclosing that a
> second Iraqi force was now poised on the Jordanian frontier, almost ten
> times the number of the first wave of invaders - an estimated
10,000-18,000
> commando troops.
>
> Also today, the important US investigative publication Global Strafor
> reported from Washington that the US is on the point of launching a
military
> strike against Iraq.
>
> The original report follows here:
> Saddams First War Move
>
> DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources learn that Iraqi president Saddam
> Hussein has secretly sent troops across the frontier in Jordan, striking
the
> first spark for igniting a Middle East war.
>
> Iraq military units have been infiltrating neighboring Jordan for the past
> 10 days. Their mission: to reach the Israeli border, cross the Jordan
River
> and move into the main Palestinian cities of the West Bank Ramallah,
> Jenin, Nablus and Bethlehem and fight alongside the Palestinians.
> The invading units are highly trained and well-equipped commandos able to
> operate and survive in the field for long periods when cut off from their
> headquarters and sources of supply.
>
> They are still in the Jordanian desert. What happens to them over this
> coming weekend could determine if a full-scale war erupts.
>
> The first big Iraqi incursion into Jordan began on July 10 and went on for
> five days. The king at once proclaimed a supreme state of alert in all
> Jordanian army units. Israel poured troops into the Jordan Valley region,
> deploying them along the Jordan River and Jordanian frontier in order to
> block off the West Bank to Iraqi penetration.
>
> According to DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources, the Iraqi forces first
> entry point in Jordan was Wadi El Murbah in the central zone of its
eastern
> border with Iraq. From there, they moved to Wadi Athner. A second
> penetration area was Wadi Hawran in southwest Iraq, not far from the
points
> where the Iraqi, Saudi and Jordanian frontiers meet. The Iraqi forces
> advanced through the wadi, bypassing Jabal Unayzah in Iraq and coming out
> inside Jordanian territory near the town of Ruwayshid.
>
> DEBKA-Net-Weeklys sources in Amman and Jerusalem report that both Israel
> and Jordan view the Iraqi military operation as an act of war against
them.
> While maintaining official silence, certainly on the Iraqi invasion of
> Jordan, both countries consider themselves in a state of war with Iraq.
>
> Jordan did attempt in the first days of the incursion to encircle the
Iraqi
> intruders and capture them. But some days of intensive effort with
airborne
> support showed the Jordanian Special Forces that they are no match for
1,000
> to 1,500 crack Iraqi commandos. Jordanian fighter planes sent into action
> were met by dozens of Iraqi fighters, put up over the penetration regions,
> from Al-Baghdadi, the main Iraqi air base in the central region, south of
> the town of Arrutba. When SA-6 surface-to-air missile batteries at two
> recently reopened Iraqi air bases, H3 in the northwest and H3 in the
> northeast, lit up their radar and locked on to the elderly Jordanian
> aircraft, lacking electronic counter-measures, they turned tail without
> snapping a single reconnaissance photo.
>
> Jordan sent desert reconnaissance patrols and intelligence units into Iraq
> to bring back information on supply lines and reinforcements. What they
> found sounded even louder alarm bells in Amman: The elite Hummarabi
division
> of the Republican Guard, equipped with T-72 tanks, was now in position
> between the Jordanian border and the two H bases. They also learned that
the
> Iraqi army had sent at least four armored infantry brigades into the area.
>
> Equally troubling, at the beginning of the week, the Iraqi force already
in
> Jordan was sighted moving west, several groups having reached the sand
dunes
> and wadis known as Abu Haffrah, about 80 km (50 miles) inside Jordanian
> territory.
>
> King Abdullah decided to take command of the Jordanian forces still
chasing
> the Iraqis intruders. That is why he looked so worried and tired as
though
> he had not slept for nights in his public appearances in Amman in the
past
> week. He also appeared in combat fatigues.
>
> DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources report that the longer the king, a
> career officer before he ascended the throne, spent out in the field in
> eastern Jordan, the more anxious he became. He realized that overcoming
the
> Iraqi force already inside the kingdom would not end his worries. There
was
> still the next stage of Saddams plan to face up to, as indicated in the
> latest intelligence reports on his desk. Iraq had a second wave of troops
> poised ready to cross into Jordan. Furthermore, Saddam Hussein had
secretly
> appointed his eldest son, Qusay, supreme commander of what the Iraqi
> president was now describing as the Iraqi-Jordanian-Israeli front.
> At a military ceremony attended by top Iraqi generals, Saddam, the reports
> said, had sworn to spare neither effort nor money to provide Qusay with
any
> reinforcements he might request.
>
> Qusay is said to have set up his headquarters at al-Bagdad air force base,
> to the rear of the Iraqi forces deployed between the H bases and the
> Jordanian border.
>
> Jordanian intelligence also reported a large concentration of Iraqi forces
> on the main roads leading from Iraq to Damascus and from Iraq to the Golan
> Heights.
>
> The Jordanian king was forced to realize that he was not dealing merely
with
> a small-scale invasion of mobile Iraqi forces, but with preparations by
his
> eastern neighbor for war on a regional scale, far beyond the scope of the
> Jordanian army on its own.
>
> What the intelligence reports omitted to mention was whether Saddam
> Husseins move had been coordinated with either - or both - Palestinian
> Authority chairman Yasser Arafat and Syrian president Bashar Assad.
>
> DEBKA-Weekly-Net sources in Jerusalem and Washington report that at the
> beginning of the week, King Abdullah put his overseas connections to the
> test. He asked President George Bush for American intervention against the
> Iraqi threat. He also turned to Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon to
> invoke the secret Israeli-Jordanian defense pact signed by the late King
> Hussein and Yitzhak Rabin that obliges Israel to act against military or
> terrorist elements endangering the existence of the Kingdom of Jordan or
the
> Hashemite throne.
>
> Several of DEBKA-Net-Weeklys sources report that the ways in which the
pact
> may be implemented are under discussion between Israel and Jordan in
> consultation with Washington, which has its own plans for building up the
> military pressure on Saddam Hussein.
>
> A top Israeli official said in answer to a question from DEBKA-Net-Weekly:
> We may be back in the 1991 Gulf War, when the administration of Bush Sr.
> depended heavily on an Arab coalition and demanded that Israeli stand
aside.
> We were therefore prevented from fighting back against the Scud missiles
> falling on Tel Aviv.
>
> Now, too, Sharon has no wish to get involved in American regional
> considerations. Our only interest is to stop Iraqi forces from reaching
the
> West Bank and linking up with the Palestinians. Those words are the key
to
> Sharons statement Thursday, July 26, to a group of Likud members in
Ariel:
> At the end of the road, he said, there are American interests. They
want
> to step up their campaign against Iraq and for this they need the backing
of
> Arab states. They dont want us (in the way), and I take this as a warning
> signal.
>
> These words are completely untypical. Sharon never says a word that is not
> upbeat when he refers to his relations with the Bush administration.
> The coming weekend will be crucial in this regard.
>
> The Jordanian-Iraqi clashes, if they continue, could be the first
military
> step on the road to a Middle East war without the world even noticing.
> DEBKA-Net-WeeklysMiddle East experts point out that if even a small
number
> of Iraqi commandos already in Jordan actually reach the West Bank,
> Abdullahs situation will become complicated. He cannot interfere without
> being branded a collaborator with the Jewish state. But letting Saddam get
> away with the move and allowing Iraqi troops to cross the Jordan River
would
> effectively reduce him to Saddams puppet.
>
> Qusays appointment as supreme commander of the new front is another
> embarrassment. Qusay hates the Hashemites and would enjoy humiliating
> Abdullah. Forcing Abdullah to receive him as commander of Iraqs invading
> force and cooperate with him would be tantamount to making the king bend
the
> knee.
>
> Saddam, meanwhile, appears to be in a win-win situation. He is making good
> on his promises to a series of PLO delegations visiting Baghdad in the
last
> 10 months to open a second front against Israel to aid the Palestinian
> battle against Israel. This would show up the rest of the Arab world as
> shirking their sacred duty towards the Palestinian struggle.
>
> He would also appear in the heroic light of sending an Arab army to fight
> Israeli head-on, instead of hiding behind long-range missiles.
>
>
>
>
>
>
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