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Thanks for the most interesting article. One thing I think of is that in
the past Saddam has moved, cognitively or otherwise, on major malefic
planetary aspects. ( I forget what it was in 1990.) Sunday 8/5 , Pluto is
in exact opposition to Saturn, pretty high on the malefic scale. Meanwhile,
oil prices are sitting just under a downtrend line off the high, having
approximately hit it on thu/fri. Bonds arguably ended corrections to
downtrends last week, and possibly the stock indices as well. It all kinda
fits together for a blow-up.
"
----- Original Message -----
From: "Chris Cheatham" <chrischeatham@xxxxxxxxx>
To: "RealTraders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Saturday, August 04, 2001 7:38 AM
Subject: [RT] Fw: Mideast Situation: What impact on oil prices?
> I thought some might have an interest in this from another list. Thanks
to
> Mark Jurik for the article.
>
> Chris
>
>
>
> > Mark,
> >
> > Thanks for the most interesting article. One thing I think of is that
in
> > the past Saddam has moved, cognitively or otherwise, on major malefic
> > planetary aspects. ( I forget what it was in 1990.) Sunday 8/5 , Pluto
> is
> > in exact opposition to Saturn, pretty high on the malefic scale.
> Meanwhile,
> > oil prices are sitting just under a downtrend line off the high, having
> > approximately hit it on thu/fri. Bonds arguably ended corrections to
> > downtrends last week, and possibly the stock indices as well. It all
> kinda
> > fits together for a blow-up.
> >
> > Wouldn't it be ironic if Saddam tries to get revenge on "W" for his
> father's
> > deeds?
> >
> > Chris
> >
> >
> > >
> > >
> > > Events in the mideast are heating up. Attached is a
> > > clipping from http://www.debka.com/
> > > that discusses Iraq's recent infiltration into Jordan.
> > >
> > > Aside from the socio-political turmoil which we'd all
> > > like to see resolved peacefully, once CNN gives this
> > > full coverage, one can only guess the impact on oil futures.
> > >
> > > - mark
> > >
> > >
> >
> >
>
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------
> --
> > ----
> >
> >
> > 28 July: Two days ago, DEBKAfiles weekly intelligence newsletter,
> > DEBKA-Net-Weekly, in conjunction with the second largest electronic news
> > site in America, World Net Daily, broke the news of Iraqi commandos in
> > Jordan.
> > This is undoubtedly the most important military development in the ten
> > months of the Palestinian confrontation with Israel.
> >
> > Friday, July 27, Koenigs World Watch Daily picked up the story verified
> > from a high-placed source in Amman. That source noted that certain
unnamed
> > forces were at pains to suppress the information.
> >
> > Saturday, July 28, Koenigs provided a follow-up to the DEBKA-Net-Weekly
> > story. It cited the same high-placed Jordanian source as disclosing that
a
> > second Iraqi force was now poised on the Jordanian frontier, almost ten
> > times the number of the first wave of invaders - an estimated
> 10,000-18,000
> > commando troops.
> >
> > Also today, the important US investigative publication Global Strafor
> > reported from Washington that the US is on the point of launching a
> military
> > strike against Iraq.
> >
> > The original report follows here:
> > Saddams First War Move
> >
> > DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources learn that Iraqi president Saddam
> > Hussein has secretly sent troops across the frontier in Jordan, striking
> the
> > first spark for igniting a Middle East war.
> >
> > Iraq military units have been infiltrating neighboring Jordan for the
past
> > 10 days. Their mission: to reach the Israeli border, cross the Jordan
> River
> > and move into the main Palestinian cities of the West Bank Ramallah,
> > Jenin, Nablus and Bethlehem and fight alongside the Palestinians.
> > The invading units are highly trained and well-equipped commandos able
to
> > operate and survive in the field for long periods when cut off from
their
> > headquarters and sources of supply.
> >
> > They are still in the Jordanian desert. What happens to them over this
> > coming weekend could determine if a full-scale war erupts.
> >
> > The first big Iraqi incursion into Jordan began on July 10 and went on
for
> > five days. The king at once proclaimed a supreme state of alert in all
> > Jordanian army units. Israel poured troops into the Jordan Valley
region,
> > deploying them along the Jordan River and Jordanian frontier in order to
> > block off the West Bank to Iraqi penetration.
> >
> > According to DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources, the Iraqi forces
first
> > entry point in Jordan was Wadi El Murbah in the central zone of its
> eastern
> > border with Iraq. From there, they moved to Wadi Athner. A second
> > penetration area was Wadi Hawran in southwest Iraq, not far from the
> points
> > where the Iraqi, Saudi and Jordanian frontiers meet. The Iraqi forces
> > advanced through the wadi, bypassing Jabal Unayzah in Iraq and coming
out
> > inside Jordanian territory near the town of Ruwayshid.
> >
> > DEBKA-Net-Weeklys sources in Amman and Jerusalem report that both
Israel
> > and Jordan view the Iraqi military operation as an act of war against
> them.
> > While maintaining official silence, certainly on the Iraqi invasion of
> > Jordan, both countries consider themselves in a state of war with Iraq.
> >
> > Jordan did attempt in the first days of the incursion to encircle the
> Iraqi
> > intruders and capture them. But some days of intensive effort with
> airborne
> > support showed the Jordanian Special Forces that they are no match for
> 1,000
> > to 1,500 crack Iraqi commandos. Jordanian fighter planes sent into
action
> > were met by dozens of Iraqi fighters, put up over the penetration
regions,
> > from Al-Baghdadi, the main Iraqi air base in the central region, south
of
> > the town of Arrutba. When SA-6 surface-to-air missile batteries at two
> > recently reopened Iraqi air bases, H3 in the northwest and H3 in the
> > northeast, lit up their radar and locked on to the elderly Jordanian
> > aircraft, lacking electronic counter-measures, they turned tail without
> > snapping a single reconnaissance photo.
> >
> > Jordan sent desert reconnaissance patrols and intelligence units into
Iraq
> > to bring back information on supply lines and reinforcements. What they
> > found sounded even louder alarm bells in Amman: The elite Hummarabi
> division
> > of the Republican Guard, equipped with T-72 tanks, was now in position
> > between the Jordanian border and the two H bases. They also learned that
> the
> > Iraqi army had sent at least four armored infantry brigades into the
area.
> >
> > Equally troubling, at the beginning of the week, the Iraqi force already
> in
> > Jordan was sighted moving west, several groups having reached the sand
> dunes
> > and wadis known as Abu Haffrah, about 80 km (50 miles) inside Jordanian
> > territory.
> >
> > King Abdullah decided to take command of the Jordanian forces still
> chasing
> > the Iraqis intruders. That is why he looked so worried and tired as
> though
> > he had not slept for nights in his public appearances in Amman in the
> past
> > week. He also appeared in combat fatigues.
> >
> > DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources report that the longer the king, a
> > career officer before he ascended the throne, spent out in the field in
> > eastern Jordan, the more anxious he became. He realized that overcoming
> the
> > Iraqi force already inside the kingdom would not end his worries. There
> was
> > still the next stage of Saddams plan to face up to, as indicated in the
> > latest intelligence reports on his desk. Iraq had a second wave of
troops
> > poised ready to cross into Jordan. Furthermore, Saddam Hussein had
> secretly
> > appointed his eldest son, Qusay, supreme commander of what the Iraqi
> > president was now describing as the Iraqi-Jordanian-Israeli front.
> > At a military ceremony attended by top Iraqi generals, Saddam, the
reports
> > said, had sworn to spare neither effort nor money to provide Qusay with
> any
> > reinforcements he might request.
> >
> > Qusay is said to have set up his headquarters at al-Bagdad air force
base,
> > to the rear of the Iraqi forces deployed between the H bases and the
> > Jordanian border.
> >
> > Jordanian intelligence also reported a large concentration of Iraqi
forces
> > on the main roads leading from Iraq to Damascus and from Iraq to the
Golan
> > Heights.
> >
> > The Jordanian king was forced to realize that he was not dealing merely
> with
> > a small-scale invasion of mobile Iraqi forces, but with preparations by
> his
> > eastern neighbor for war on a regional scale, far beyond the scope of
the
> > Jordanian army on its own.
> >
> > What the intelligence reports omitted to mention was whether Saddam
> > Husseins move had been coordinated with either - or both - Palestinian
> > Authority chairman Yasser Arafat and Syrian president Bashar Assad.
> >
> > DEBKA-Weekly-Net sources in Jerusalem and Washington report that at the
> > beginning of the week, King Abdullah put his overseas connections to the
> > test. He asked President George Bush for American intervention against
the
> > Iraqi threat. He also turned to Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon to
> > invoke the secret Israeli-Jordanian defense pact signed by the late King
> > Hussein and Yitzhak Rabin that obliges Israel to act against military or
> > terrorist elements endangering the existence of the Kingdom of Jordan or
> the
> > Hashemite throne.
> >
> > Several of DEBKA-Net-Weeklys sources report that the ways in which the
> pact
> > may be implemented are under discussion between Israel and Jordan in
> > consultation with Washington, which has its own plans for building up
the
> > military pressure on Saddam Hussein.
> >
> > A top Israeli official said in answer to a question from
DEBKA-Net-Weekly:
> > We may be back in the 1991 Gulf War, when the administration of Bush
Sr.
> > depended heavily on an Arab coalition and demanded that Israeli stand
> aside.
> > We were therefore prevented from fighting back against the Scud missiles
> > falling on Tel Aviv.
> >
> > Now, too, Sharon has no wish to get involved in American regional
> > considerations. Our only interest is to stop Iraqi forces from reaching
> the
> > West Bank and linking up with the Palestinians. Those words are the key
> to
> > Sharons statement Thursday, July 26, to a group of Likud members in
> Ariel:
> > At the end of the road, he said, there are American interests. They
> want
> > to step up their campaign against Iraq and for this they need the
backing
> of
> > Arab states. They dont want us (in the way), and I take this as a
warning
> > signal.
> >
> > These words are completely untypical. Sharon never says a word that is
not
> > upbeat when he refers to his relations with the Bush administration.
> > The coming weekend will be crucial in this regard.
> >
> > The Jordanian-Iraqi clashes, if they continue, could be the first
> military
> > step on the road to a Middle East war without the world even
noticing.
> > DEBKA-Net-WeeklysMiddle East experts point out that if even a small
> number
> > of Iraqi commandos already in Jordan actually reach the West Bank,
> > Abdullahs situation will become complicated. He cannot interfere
without
> > being branded a collaborator with the Jewish state. But letting Saddam
get
> > away with the move and allowing Iraqi troops to cross the Jordan River
> would
> > effectively reduce him to Saddams puppet.
> >
> > Qusays appointment as supreme commander of the new front is another
> > embarrassment. Qusay hates the Hashemites and would enjoy humiliating
> > Abdullah. Forcing Abdullah to receive him as commander of Iraqs
invading
> > force and cooperate with him would be tantamount to making the king bend
> the
> > knee.
> >
> > Saddam, meanwhile, appears to be in a win-win situation. He is making
good
> > on his promises to a series of PLO delegations visiting Baghdad in the
> last
> > 10 months to open a second front against Israel to aid the Palestinian
> > battle against Israel. This would show up the rest of the Arab world as
> > shirking their sacred duty towards the Palestinian struggle.
> >
> > He would also appear in the heroic light of sending an Arab army to
fight
> > Israeli head-on, instead of hiding behind long-range missiles.
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
>
>
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