Re: [RT] Fw: Mideast Situation: What impact on oil prices?

["BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Correction to oexastro.gif.  the NTnode and Venus were misslabeled.  The
intriguing question is whether the OEX bear mode resumes after the 8/6
aspect and if it does, will the OEX snap back to the downtrending Sun/Earth
line(bright green).  If it does follow that route, then Neptune support at
593 and Uranus 577in the 4th Harmonic Mirror might be the heavy planet
support.  Back in late 2000 and early 2001 the OEX had been tracking the
sun/earth line downward and rallied to the Venus line in Jan/Feb and then
fell to the Sun/Earth line  and below where it found support on Jupiter,
Uranus, Neptune.    There is a similar setup now but Jupiter is providing
resistance and the OEX is traversing into that Venus/Jupiter/NTnode aspect
this weekend and Monday.  Given the fact that the mideast is in a constant
state of war the question arises, why would planetary aspects that coincide
with any warlike event have any significance at all unless there were a
dramatic change in the status quo.  Of course, absolutely no one is
predicting peace breaking out and brotherly love pervading the
planet.....not even the Jehovah's witnesses knocking at the door exciting my
dog Merlin into his alert posture.  Perhaps they can describe the aspects
that will put them out of a job.

facetiously and skeptically,
br

----- Original Message -----
From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Saturday, August 04, 2001 8:23 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Fw: Mideast Situation: What impact on oil prices?


> attachments for general interest.
> br
>
>
> "
> Thanks for the most interesting article.  One thing I think of is that in
> the past Saddam has moved, cognitively or otherwise, on major malefic
> planetary aspects.  ( I forget what it was in 1990.)  Sunday 8/5 , Pluto
is
> in exact opposition to Saturn, pretty high on the malefic scale.
Meanwhile,
> oil prices are sitting just under a downtrend line off the high, having
> approximately hit it on thu/fri.  Bonds arguably ended corrections to
> downtrends last week,  and possibly the stock indices as well. It all
kinda
> fits together for a blow-up.
> "
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Chris Cheatham" <chrischeatham@xxxxxxxxx>
> To: "RealTraders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Saturday, August 04, 2001 7:38 AM
> Subject: [RT] Fw: Mideast Situation: What impact on oil prices?
>
>
> > I thought some might have an interest in this from another list.  Thanks
> to
> > Mark Jurik for the article.
> >
> > Chris
> >
> >
> >
> > > Mark,
> > >
> > > Thanks for the most interesting article.  One thing I think of is that
> in
> > > the past Saddam has moved, cognitively or otherwise, on major malefic
> > > planetary aspects.  ( I forget what it was in 1990.)  Sunday 8/5 ,
Pluto
> > is
> > > in exact opposition to Saturn, pretty high on the malefic scale.
> > Meanwhile,
> > > oil prices are sitting just under a downtrend line off the high,
having
> > > approximately hit it on thu/fri.  Bonds arguably ended corrections to
> > > downtrends last week,  and possibly the stock indices as well. It all
> > kinda
> > > fits together for a blow-up.
> > >
> > > Wouldn't it be ironic if Saddam tries to get revenge on "W" for his
> > father's
> > > deeds?
> > >
> > > Chris
> > >
> > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > Events in the mideast are heating up. Attached is a
> > > > clipping from http://www.debka.com/
> > > > that discusses Iraq's recent infiltration into Jordan.
> > > >
> > > > Aside from the socio-political turmoil which we'd all
> > > > like to see resolved peacefully, once CNN gives this
> > > > full coverage, one can only guess the impact on oil futures.
> > > >
> > > > - mark
> > > >
> > > >
> > >
> > >
> >
>
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------
> > --
> > > ----
> > >
> > >
> > > 28 July: Two days ago, DEBKAfiles weekly intelligence newsletter,
> > > DEBKA-Net-Weekly, in conjunction with the second largest electronic
news
> > > site in America, World Net Daily, broke the news of Iraqi commandos in
> > > Jordan.
> > > This is undoubtedly the most important military development in the ten
> > > months of the Palestinian confrontation with Israel.
> > >
> > > Friday, July 27, Koenigs World Watch Daily picked up the story
verified
> > > from a high-placed source in Amman. That source noted that certain
> unnamed
> > > forces were at pains to suppress the information.
> > >
> > > Saturday, July 28, Koenigs provided a follow-up to the
DEBKA-Net-Weekly
> > > story. It cited the same high-placed Jordanian source as disclosing
that
> a
> > > second Iraqi force was now poised on the Jordanian frontier, almost
ten
> > > times the number of the first wave of invaders - an estimated
> > 10,000-18,000
> > > commando troops.
> > >
> > > Also today, the important US investigative publication Global Strafor
> > > reported from Washington that the US is on the point of launching a
> > military
> > > strike against Iraq.
> > >
> > > The original report follows here:
> > > Saddams First War Move
> > >
> > > DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources learn that Iraqi president Saddam
> > > Hussein has secretly sent troops across the frontier in Jordan,
striking
> > the
> > > first spark for igniting a Middle East war.
> > >
> > > Iraq military units have been infiltrating neighboring Jordan for the
> past
> > > 10 days. Their mission: to reach the Israeli border, cross the Jordan
> > River
> > > and move into the main Palestinian cities of the West Bank  Ramallah,
> > > Jenin, Nablus and Bethlehem  and fight alongside the Palestinians.
> > > The invading units are highly trained and well-equipped commandos able
> to
> > > operate and survive in the field for long periods when cut off from
> their
> > > headquarters and sources of supply.
> > >
> > > They are still in the Jordanian desert. What happens to them over this
> > > coming weekend could determine if a full-scale war erupts.
> > >
> > > The first big Iraqi incursion into Jordan began on July 10 and went on
> for
> > > five days. The king at once proclaimed a supreme state of alert in all
> > > Jordanian army units.  Israel poured troops into the Jordan Valley
> region,
> > > deploying them along the Jordan River and Jordanian frontier in order
to
> > > block off the West Bank to Iraqi penetration.
> > >
> > > According to DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources, the Iraqi forces
> first
> > > entry point in Jordan was Wadi El Murbah in the central zone of its
> > eastern
> > > border with Iraq. From there, they moved to Wadi Athner. A second
> > > penetration area was Wadi Hawran in southwest Iraq, not far from the
> > points
> > > where the Iraqi, Saudi and Jordanian frontiers meet. The Iraqi forces
> > > advanced through the wadi, bypassing Jabal Unayzah in Iraq and coming
> out
> > > inside Jordanian territory near the town of Ruwayshid.
> > >
> > > DEBKA-Net-Weeklys sources in Amman and Jerusalem report that both
> Israel
> > > and Jordan view the Iraqi military operation as an act of war against
> > them.
> > > While maintaining official silence, certainly on the Iraqi invasion of
> > > Jordan, both countries consider themselves in a state of war with
Iraq.
> > >
> > > Jordan did attempt in the first days of the incursion to encircle the
> > Iraqi
> > > intruders and capture them. But some days of intensive effort with
> > airborne
> > > support showed the Jordanian Special Forces that they are no match for
> > 1,000
> > > to 1,500 crack Iraqi commandos. Jordanian fighter planes sent into
> action
> > > were met by dozens of Iraqi fighters, put up over the penetration
> regions,
> > > from Al-Baghdadi, the main Iraqi air base in the central region, south
> of
> > > the town of Arrutba. When SA-6 surface-to-air missile batteries at two
> > > recently reopened Iraqi air bases, H3 in the northwest and H3 in the
> > > northeast, lit up their radar and locked on to the elderly Jordanian
> > > aircraft, lacking electronic counter-measures, they turned tail
without
> > > snapping a single reconnaissance photo.
> > >
> > > Jordan sent desert reconnaissance patrols and intelligence units into
> Iraq
> > > to bring back information on supply lines and reinforcements. What
they
> > > found sounded even louder alarm bells in Amman: The elite Hummarabi
> > division
> > > of the Republican Guard, equipped with T-72 tanks, was now in position
> > > between the Jordanian border and the two H bases. They also learned
that
> > the
> > > Iraqi army had sent at least four armored infantry brigades into the
> area.
> > >
> > > Equally troubling, at the beginning of the week, the Iraqi force
already
> > in
> > > Jordan was sighted moving west, several groups having reached the sand
> > dunes
> > > and wadis known as Abu Haffrah, about 80 km (50 miles) inside
Jordanian
> > > territory.
> > >
> > > King Abdullah decided to take command of the Jordanian forces still
> > chasing
> > > the Iraqis intruders. That is why he looked so worried and tired  as
> > though
> > > he had not slept for nights  in his public appearances in Amman in
the
> > past
> > > week. He also appeared in combat fatigues.
> > >
> > > DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources report that the longer the king, a
> > > career officer before he ascended the throne, spent out in the field
in
> > > eastern Jordan, the more anxious he became. He realized that
overcoming
> > the
> > > Iraqi force already inside the kingdom would not end his worries.
There
> > was
> > > still the next stage of Saddams plan to face up to, as indicated in
the
> > > latest intelligence reports on his desk. Iraq had a second wave of
> troops
> > > poised ready to cross into Jordan. Furthermore, Saddam Hussein had
> > secretly
> > > appointed his eldest son, Qusay, supreme commander of what the Iraqi
> > > president was now describing as the Iraqi-Jordanian-Israeli front.
> > > At a military ceremony attended by top Iraqi generals, Saddam, the
> reports
> > > said, had sworn to spare neither effort nor money to provide Qusay
with
> > any
> > > reinforcements he might request.
> > >
> > > Qusay is said to have set up his headquarters at al-Bagdad air force
> base,
> > > to the rear of the Iraqi forces deployed between the H bases and the
> > > Jordanian border.
> > >
> > > Jordanian intelligence also reported a large concentration of Iraqi
> forces
> > > on the main roads leading from Iraq to Damascus and from Iraq to the
> Golan
> > > Heights.
> > >
> > > The Jordanian king was forced to realize that he was not dealing
merely
> > with
> > > a small-scale invasion of mobile Iraqi forces, but with preparations
by
> > his
> > > eastern neighbor for war on a regional scale, far beyond the scope of
> the
> > > Jordanian army on its own.
> > >
> > > What the intelligence reports omitted to mention was whether Saddam
> > > Husseins move had been coordinated with either - or both -
Palestinian
> > > Authority chairman Yasser Arafat and Syrian president Bashar Assad.
> > >
> > > DEBKA-Weekly-Net sources in Jerusalem and Washington report that at
the
> > > beginning of the week, King Abdullah put his overseas connections to
the
> > > test. He asked President George Bush for American intervention against
> the
> > > Iraqi threat. He also turned to Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon to
> > > invoke the secret Israeli-Jordanian defense pact signed by the late
King
> > > Hussein and Yitzhak Rabin that obliges Israel to act against military
or
> > > terrorist elements endangering the existence of the Kingdom of Jordan
or
> > the
> > > Hashemite throne.
> > >
> > > Several of DEBKA-Net-Weeklys sources report that the ways in which
the
> > pact
> > > may be implemented are under discussion between Israel and Jordan in
> > > consultation with Washington, which has its own plans for building up
> the
> > > military pressure on Saddam Hussein.
> > >
> > > A top Israeli official said in answer to a question from
> DEBKA-Net-Weekly:
> > > We may be back in the 1991 Gulf War, when the administration of Bush
> Sr.
> > > depended heavily on an Arab coalition and demanded that Israeli stand
> > aside.
> > > We were therefore prevented from fighting back against the Scud
missiles
> > > falling on Tel Aviv.
> > >
> > >  Now, too, Sharon has no wish to get involved in American regional
> > > considerations. Our only interest is to stop Iraqi forces from
reaching
> > the
> > > West Bank and linking up with the Palestinians. Those words are the
key
> > to
> > > Sharons statement Thursday, July 26, to a group of Likud members in
> > Ariel:
> > >  At the end of the road, he said, there are American interests.
They
> > want
> > > to step up their campaign against Iraq and for this they need the
> backing
> > of
> > > Arab states. They dont want us (in the way), and I take this as a
> warning
> > > signal.
> > >
> > > These words are completely untypical. Sharon never says a word that is
> not
> > > upbeat when he  refers to his relations with the Bush administration.
> > > The coming weekend will be crucial in this regard.
> > >
> > >  The Jordanian-Iraqi clashes, if they continue, could be the first
> > military
> > > step on the road to a Middle East war   without the world even
> noticing.
> > > DEBKA-Net-WeeklysMiddle East experts point out that if even a small
> > number
> > > of Iraqi commandos already in Jordan actually reach the West Bank,
> > > Abdullahs situation will become complicated. He cannot interfere
> without
> > > being branded a collaborator with the Jewish state. But letting Saddam
> get
> > > away with the move and allowing Iraqi troops to cross the Jordan River
> > would
> > > effectively reduce him to Saddams puppet.
> > >
> > > Qusays appointment as supreme commander of the new front is another
> > > embarrassment.  Qusay hates the Hashemites and would enjoy humiliating
> > > Abdullah. Forcing Abdullah to receive him as commander of Iraqs
> invading
> > > force and cooperate with him would be tantamount to making the king
bend
> > the
> > > knee.
> > >
> > > Saddam, meanwhile, appears to be in a win-win situation. He is making
> good
> > > on his promises to a series of PLO delegations visiting Baghdad in the
> > last
> > > 10 months to open a second front against Israel to aid the Palestinian
> > > battle against Israel. This would show up the rest of the Arab world
as
> > > shirking their sacred duty towards the Palestinian struggle.
> > >
> > > He would also appear in the heroic light of sending an Arab army to
> fight
> > > Israeli head-on, instead of hiding behind long-range missiles.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> >
> >
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