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Mr. R,
I don't have the omega machine, to crank the numbers....I don't want it...
My question, is on the use of "Likely" not to be facetious or something
like asking you to define key terms like
the former President, but.....
When you use likely, what kind of confidence do you have in expecting price
to stay above 1249?
A coin flip is not very good odds, 80% or better is getting to be really
good odds. I am asking how
excited you got when you found this phenomenon? Did you get the dog to
start barking?
Also when thinking in probabilistic terms with a set of trades, where do you
get comfortable in trading
a time set? I don't know if that makes sense or not. Say you have an idea
you test it, it looks good, you apply
money to the idea.
How do you figure it has decided to blow up? What is your sample size and
is that what you use to determine when
a system or mechanical method is deteriorating?
Thanks,
Don Thompson
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