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i ran a modified version in a lecture yesterday
25 marbles
14 clear paying 1 to 1
1 red paying 10 to 1
9 black losing 1 to 1
1 silver losing 5 to 1
the system is a 60% system with an expectancy of 0.375
good luck
Olof
> It is referenced in Van K. Tharp "Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom". As
> far as I remember, there were ten marbles in the bag, 6 of which are blue
> (the winners), the rest black. Thus it was a game with positive expectancy
> (60%) and all the probands had to do, was to determine their betsize. The
> outcome was, that only a small percentage of the participants were
> profitable over a given number of runs. you can simply modell this in an
> excel-spreadsheet.
>
> best regards
>
> Ralph Malisch
>
>
> >I've heard about a game RV invented that simulates trading, with marbles
> >and bets. Anyone know the details of the game, how it works, and how it
> is
> >played?
> >
> >Thanks,
> >
> >Larry
> >
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