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This chart should scare the bejesus out of us all.
http://www.white-crane.com/stocks/DOW.gif
It's a weekly chart of the DOW 30 Industrials from 1982 to present.
There is a *well* defined channel that we hit the top of today.
This channel top was hit in at these times:
August 1987 - declined from 2750 to 1616 (-41%)
August 1997 - declined from 8300 to 7000 (-16%)
April 1998 - declined from 9300 to 8600 (-8%),
Then climbed to back to 9300 before falling to 7400 (-20%)
Now, I'm not Chicken Little. I'm a long term bull. But this is
warning me to get out of this market for while. I think the
fundamentals of this market are strong (low interest rates and big
cash inflows.) So I don't expect a big correction. I just don't want
to be in for even a small one.
In the last few days I've sold HD, WMT, MWD, NITE, PFE, VISX, CYMI.
I'm hoping for a bounce tomorrow so I can sell some others.
Good luck.
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