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Re: Yahoo - Intel May Take Stake In Micron Technology Inc., Reports CMP's Electronic Buyers' News


  • To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: Yahoo - Intel May Take Stake In Micron Technology Inc., Reports CMP's Electronic Buyers' News
  • From: "Jim Greening" <JimGinVA@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 12:58:50 -0400 (EDT)

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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Harley,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT><FONT size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
You're absolutely right on MU not fitting the CANSLIM methodology.&nbsp; I 
wasn't talking about their methodology, just the cup and handle chart formation 
that William's dwells on.&nbsp; Anyhow, I rely more on trend channels, then I do 
on breakouts to new highs.&nbsp; I'd have to say that MU is now in the middle of 
a wide Horizontal Channel between 20 and 39.&nbsp; I wouldn't be interested in 
it here, but best of luck on whatever you do with it.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>JimG&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR><B>From: 
    </B>Harley Meyer &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:meyer@xxxxxxxxxxx";>meyer@xxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: </B><A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
    </B>Saturday, October 03, 1998 11:23 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>Re: Yahoo - Intel 
    May Take Stake In Micron Technology Inc., Reports CMP's Electronic Buyers' 
    News<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>Hi Jim,<BR><BR>I wanted to get back to you. I am 
    not a CANSLIM<BR>expert but if it doesn't have the earnings growth<BR>it 
    isn't CANSLIM. Mu by all means doesn't have<BR>that. As far as the chart, I 
    would say that the<BR>cup you are talking about actually ended in the<BR>end 
    of August. The last part of August had a<BR>downturn in price on heavy 
    volume. Now if it had<BR>gone down on light volume then it might of been 
    a<BR>different technical interpretation.<BR><BR>Harley<BR><BR>Jim Greening 
    wrote:<BR><BR>&gt;&nbsp; Harley,&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Best of luck, hope 
    you're right.<BR>&gt; As I understand the CANSLIM cup, all that's<BR>&gt; 
    required for volume is:&nbsp; 1) that it's lower on<BR>&gt; the left hand 
    side of the cup (march to June )<BR>&gt; 2) higher on the right hand side of 
    the cup<BR>&gt; (July to now), and&nbsp; 3) most importantly, very<BR>&gt; 
    high to confirm the breakout.The breakout hasn't<BR>&gt; occurred yet.&nbsp; 
    For your sake I hope it doesn't<BR>&gt; because it would require a push 
    through the 39<BR>&gt; level on high volume. 
    Jim<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -----Original 
    Message-----<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; From: Harley Meyer &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:meyer@xxxxxxxxxxx";>meyer@xxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    To: <A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A><BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    Date: Sunday, September 27, 1998 11:42<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    PM<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Subject: Re: Yahoo - Intel May 
    Take<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Stake In Micron Technology 
    Inc.,<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Reports CMP's Electronic 
    Buyers'<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; NewsAhh, my good friend 
    Jim,<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; At the moment I am trying 
    not to feel<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; like Homer Simpson. I am 
    worried about<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; this MU position and 
    feel that I<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; stepped into the short a 
    little early<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; based on my trading 
    system. After<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; looking at the chart of 
    MU I don't<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; think it is in a CANSLIM 
    type of<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; breakout. The volume formation 
    is not<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; there and my guess is that 
    earnings<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; are not 
    there.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; As far as the Intel 
    deal I can't see<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; it. After doing a 
    little more reading<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; by following the 
    links that were in<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; the article. I read 
    that as soon as<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; the 2nd tier chip 
    makers can get<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ramped up they will 
    create new supply<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; in the DRAM market. 
    Also MU and<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Samsung are going to 
    increase<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; production. i.e., increased 
    supply.<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; The outlook is that DRAM will 
    be a<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; commodity. It doesn't make sense 
    that<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Intel would spend money to 
    guarantee<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; lower chip prices. When the 
    trend for<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; memory is to commodity 
    status.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Lastly MU has been a 
    buyer of<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; companies or parts there 
    of.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Like I suggested earlier, 
    I think this<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; rumor is a way to push 
    the price up<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; because somebody's 
    portfolio is<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; suffering with too much 
    MU in it. Same<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; thing happened with AMD 
    and IBM.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Now what matters is 
    what people think<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; and for now they 
    think that the price<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; should go up and 
    my poor butt has<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; decided to face the 
    other way. I just<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; hope the crowd won't 
    trample me to<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; debt (pun intended). I 
    will say that<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; MU earning are supposed 
    to be out on<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Monday some time. So I am 
    going to<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; wait until earnings come out 
    before I<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; make any 
    decisions.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
    Harley<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Jim Greening 
    wrote:<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt;&nbsp; 
    Harley,&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; That's a rumor 
    that<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; makes a lot of sense to me 
    and<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; you're asking for trouble 
    by<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; fighting the tape.&nbsp; MU is in a 
    Short<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; Term Up Trend Channel (STUTC) and 
    is<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; trying to complete a CANSLIM 
    type<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; cup and handle formation.&nbsp; it 
    could<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; really jump if the rumor 
    becomes<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &gt; true. 
Jim<BR>&gt;<BR><BR></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Oct 04 09:57:03 1998
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Jim,

While Advanced GET is excellent (although pricey) you might also want to
check out TA98. Take a look at:

http://www.stelar.com

I use it and like it very much.

Claud