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Re: The end of Dow ??



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Marianne:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>If you adjust for what is called inflation, or what we call 
the destruction in the value of the dollar, you can justify higher prices for 
the DOW average.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Back in 1966 the DOW was 1000. The 1960 dollar is worth about 
14 cents ($0.14). Therefore, just to be even DOW would be c. 7000+. 
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>If you add a factor for real return on investment - gov't 
economists say it is 3% or more for the long bond - you get a return, with the 
security of a mortgatged bond, comparable to DOW 21,500.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>If you agree that low dividend paying, growth equities should 
yield more than&nbsp; a real 3% for lowest risk bonds - then you might be 
willing to accept a rate of 5%, or 8% or 10% for equities.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>If so, you are looking at DOW values of 
44,600....130,3000.......and 261,000.&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Obviously, these high values suggest the passage of time; 
perhaps a long time.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>If so, the additional time should be factored into the 
equation, along with the rate of return. Therefore a rate of return, as 
mentioned above, achieved at a point in time 10, 20 or 30 years in the future, 
will increase to the expected final future value to 193,000 to 4,500,000 in 30 
years.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Plotting a rate of return at any of these angles for 30 years 
yields a pleasantly positive returen for the period.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Michael Robb&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR><B>From: 
    </B>Marianne Seehusen Ditz &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:marianse@xxxxxxxx";>marianse@xxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: 
    </B>MetaStock &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
    </B>Wednesday, July 08, 1998 4:59 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>The end of Dow 
    ??<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000>How far will Dow go???</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000>Marianne</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Wed Jul 08 19:31:49 1998
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From: "A.J. Maas" <anthmaas@xxxxxx>
To: "Metastock List" <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>, <consilium@xxxxxxx>
Subject: HoutHakker / Lumber Jack per 980707
Date: Thu, 9 Jul 1998 00:36:45 +0200
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Short-term Up-trend signals for worldwide listed Stocks, Indexes, Funds and Valuta
(started scanning per 9806225 using the LJ-HH-Indicator) 

Up-Trend HoutHakker(Lumber Jack) BUY/KOOP
Date      Since:    Security Name
980707 980701 10yr/yield Japan Yen Rate
980707 980702 AAB ChinaEquity Fd (DGR)
980707 980703 AAB Eastern European Equity Fd (DGR)
980707 980701 AAB EURO PHARMA CW (DGR)
980707 980701 AAB EURO TELECOM CW (DGR)
980707 980703 AAB Financ Restruct 15 EUPAN Warrant (DGR)
980707 980702 AAB HONGKONG Recovery Warrant (DGR)
980707 980707 AAB Latin America Equity Fd (DGR)
980707 980703 AAB SHARES BUY BACK Warrant (DGR)
980707 980703 AAB SOUTHERN EUROPEAN STOCKS Warrant (DGR)
980707 980702 AABAandelenFonds
980707 980701 AABAmerica Fund
980707 980707 AABAsianTigersFu
980707 980702 AABEOEIndex Fund
980707 980707 AABEuro Fund
980707 980626 AABEurope Fund
980707 980701 AABFarEast Fund
980707 980707 AABGlobalInforma
980707 980707 AABGlobalLife
980707 980707 AABGlobalResourc
980707 980702 AABGlobPropSecFd
980707 980702 AABNatResourceFu
980707 980701 AABNetherlandsFd
980707 980701 AABProperFarEast
980707 980703 AABPropertAmerFd
980707 980625 AABSmallCompanNL
980707 980625 AABTransEuropeFu
980707 980707 ABN-AMRO
980707 980630 AEGON
980707 980625 AEX-AdvDecl%
980707 980701 AEX-index
980707 980625 AEX-Stijgers%
980707 980630 AHOLD
980707 980701 AKZO
980707 980701 AMEX Composite Index
980707 980701 AMEX Major Market Index
980707 980701 AMEX Oil & Gas Index
980707 980701 AsiaPacGrowth
980707 980630 ASRverz-Stad Rot
980707 980707 ATX-INDEX OETOB
980707 980707 Aus Vienna ATX
980707 980701 Austr Sydney All Ordinaries
980707 980625 BCI GENERAL IDX
980707 980701 Bel Brussels BEL 20
980707 980625 BEL20 INDEX
980707 980707 Bra Sao Paulo BOVESPA
980707 980629 CAC 40 INDEX
980707 980630 CAC40 tt
980707 980707 Can Montreal Portfolio
980707 980701 Cap Gemini
980707 980702 Cap Gemini 2000 WarrFalcon (DGR)
980707 980701 Cap Gemini Warrant/Falcon (DGR)
980707 980702 CBOE Mexico Index
980707 980701 CBSkrsALGemeen
980707 980702 CBSkrsALGexFin
980707 980701 CBSkrsALGexRD
980707 980701 CBSkrsFinancie
980707 980701 CBSkrsInternat
980707 980701 CBSkrsLokaal
980707 980707 Col Bogota IBB
980707 980701 CommBnk VNU CW (DGR)
980707 980701 Czech Prague PX50
980707 980625 DAX DT. AKTIEN I
980707 980625 DAX Index tt
980707 980625 DAX XETRA INDEX
980707 980703 Den Copenhagen KFX-20
980707 980701 DJ COMP AVERAGE
980707 980701 DJ INDU AVERAGE
980707 980702 DL Donau Fund
980707 980630 DL EURO Fund
980707 980625 Dollar/Gld Austr
980707 980625 Dollar/Gld Canad
980707 980625 Dollar/Gld HongK
980707 980625 Dollar/Gld NwZnd
980707 980625 Dollar/Gld US
980707 980702 Dordtsche Petrol
980707 980701 Dow Jones Industrial Average(tm)  (Vol x .100
980707 980701 Dow Jones Transportation Average(tm)(Vol x .1
980707 980701 Dow Jones Utilities Average(tm) (Vol x .100)
980707 980707 DP AmericaGrowth
980707 980703 DSM
980707 980625 ECU/Gld
980707 980701 Elsevier
980707 980625 Eng.Holl.Bel.Tr.
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX 50  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Auto  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Bank  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Chemical  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Composite  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuPan STOXX Conglomorate  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Consumer Non-cyclical (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Energy  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuPan STOXX Financial Services  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Food & Beverage  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuPan STOXX Industrial  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Insurance  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuPan STOXX Media  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Pharmaceutical  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Technology  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Telecom  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuPan STOXX Utility  (ECU)
980707 980630 EURO DUTCH EQUIT
980707 980702 Europe City Esta
980707 980701 Europe Growth Fu
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX 50  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Auto  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Bank  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Chemical  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Composite  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuZon STOXX Construction  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuZon STOXX Consumer Cyclical  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Consumer Non-cyclical (ECU)
980707 980702 EuZon STOXX Energy  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuZon STOXX Financial Services  (ECU)
980707 980702 EuZon STOXX Food & Beverage  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuZon STOXX Industrial  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Insurance  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Pharmaceutical  (ECU)
980707 980707 EuZon STOXX Retail  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Technology  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Telecom  (ECU)
980707 980701 EuZon STOXX Utility  (ECU)
980707 980701 Fin Helsinki HEX
980707 980701 Fortis Amev
980707 980701 Fra Paris CAC 40
980707 980703 FT-SE 100 LSE tt
980707 980702 FTSE 100 INDEX
980707 980629 FTSE EuroTOP 100
980707 980629 FTSEEuroTop100tt
980707 980701 Ger Frankfurt DAX
980707 980625 Getronics
980707 980625 GIM Glbl Convert
980707 980707 Gist-Brocades
980707 980625 GOLD
980707 980701 Goud tt
980707 980707 Gre Athens General Share
980707 980702 Hagemeyer
980707 980701 Hal Trust B
980707 980629 HANG SENG INDEX
980707 980701 Heineken
980707 980701 HK Hang Seng
980707 980703 Hoogovens
980707 980701 Hung Budapest BUX
980707 980625 Hunter Douglas
980707 980701 Indo Jakarta Composite
980707 980701 ING Dutch Fund
980707 980630 ING EUROPE Fund
980707 980626 ING Global Fund
980707 980703 ING Groep,cert.
980707 980625 ING I.T.Fund
980707 980625 ING QUALITY OF L
980707 980630 ING Verre Oosten
980707 980701 Ingbnk DUTCH FOOD Warrant (DGR)
980707 980703 Ingbnk DUTCH-I.T. Warrant (DGR)
980707 980702 Ingbnk GLOBAL-I.T. Warrant (DGR)
980707 980707 Ingbnk SHARES BUY BACK Warrant (DGR)
980707 980701 INGMidCapDutchFd
980707 980701 Intereff 500
980707 980701 IntereffJapaWarr
980707 980707 Ita Milan MIB Tel
980707 980701 Jade Fonds
980707 980701 Jap Tokyo Nikkei 225
980707 980707 KBB-BijenkorfBeh
980707 980625 KFX INDEX
980707 980701 KLM
980707 980707 KNP-BT
980707 980702 KON PTT Nederland NV (pre-split) (DGR)
980707 980701 Koninklijke Olie
980707 980707 KPN Telecom Kon.
980707 980626 LandscGlobalEqFd
980707 980625 LCI Computer Gro
980707 980701 MADRID GEN INDE
980707 980707 Mexico IPC
980707 980702 Midkap-index
980707 980701 Morgan Stanley High Tech 35 Index (AMEX)
980707 980701 MP BYTE CW X171 (DGR)
980707 980702 MP LIFE CW (DGR)
980707 980701 MP OIL CW (DGR)
980707 980701 MP PIL CW X170  (DGR)
980707 980701 MP PUBLISHERS CW (DGR)
980707 980701 MP RETAIL CW (DGR)
980707 980701 MP TEMP CW X169  (DGR)
980707 980703 MsIRB(r) AEX Call/Put Ratio
980707 980701 NASDAQ 100 Index
980707 980701 NASDAQ Composite Index
980707 980701 NASDAQ High Technology(Computer) Index
980707 980701 Neth Amst AEX
980707 980625 NIB-A
980707 980630 NIBStratDomEqNed
980707 980701 NIKKEI 225 INDE
980707 980701 Nikkei Index tt
980707 980703 Nor Oslo Total Share
980707 980701 NYSE Composite Index
980707 980707 NZ Wellington NZSE-40
980707 980630 Obam Bel.Mij.
980707 980625 oCBSoblNL3-5
980707 980625 oCBSoblNL5-8
980707 980625 oCBSoblNL8-10
980707 980703 Oce Kon.
980707 980629 OIL HEATING
980707 980625 OIL LIGHT CRUDE
980707 980707 ORANGE EUR SMALL
980707 980625 Orange Fund
980707 980702 Orange Midcap Fd
980707 980629 PB Aandelen fnds
980707 980630 PB BeleggingsFds
980707 980630 PB Euro Aandelen
980707 980625 PB I.T. fund
980707 980630 PB NEDERLAND Fnd
980707 980625 PB WERELDMERKENF
980707 980707 Philips Electron
980707 980701 PHLX Semiconductor Index
980707 980701 Pol Warsaw WIG
980707 980625 Pond/Gld UK
980707 980701 PSE High Technology Index
980707 980707 Rabo Dutch IT CW (DGR)
980707 980707 Rabo Dutch MidCap CW (DGR)
980707 980625 Randstad Holding
980707 980625 RG America Fund
980707 980625 RG DUT MIDCAP Fd
980707 980703 RG EUR MIDCAP Fd
980707 980629 RG Europe Fund
980707 980630 RG Hollands Bezi
980707 980630 RG Pacific Fund
980707 980625 RG ROBECO
980707 980701 RG ROLINCO
980707 980625 RG Zelfselect Au
980707 980703 RG Zelfselect Ca
980707 980625 RG Zelfselect Du
980707 980630 RG Zelfselect Fr
980707 980629 RG Zelfselect Ho
980707 980629 RG Zelfselect Ja
980707 980707 RG Zelfselect Me
980707 980630 RG Zelfselect Ne
980707 980702 RG Zelfselect Si
980707 980630 RG Zelfselect Uk
980707 980625 RG Zelfselect VS
980707 980701 RG Zelfselect Zw
980707 980701 Russell 1000 Index
980707 980701 Russell 2000 Index
980707 980701 Russell 3000 Index
980707 980701 S&P 100 Stock Index
980707 980701 S&P 400 MidCap Stock Index
980707 980625 S&P 500 INDEX
980707 980701 S&P 500 Stock Index
980707 980626 S&P 500 tt
980707 980702 SA Johannesburg Gold
980707 980630 SBF 250 INDEX FR
980707 980707 SingStraitsTimes
980707 980625 Sligro Beheer
980707 980625 SMI-SWISS MARKET
980707 980701 Spa Madrid General
980707 980701 Spa Madrid IBEX 35
980707 980701 Swe Stockholm General
980707 980701 Swi Zurich SMI
980707 980701 SX16 (TOP 16)
980707 980701 Taiw Taipei Weighted
980707 980625 TAIWAN WEIGHTED
980707 980707 TNT Post Group
980707 980702 Top5-index
980707 980707 TSE 100 Index  (Vol x .100)
980707 980707 TSE 300 Toronto SE Composite Index (Vol x .10
980707 980707 TSE 35 Index  (Vol x .100)
980707 980707 TSJECHIE SLOWAKI
980707 980701 Tur Istanbul IMKB-100
980707 980701 UK London FTSE
980707 980625 Unilever cert.
980707 980703 Unique Int
980707 980701 Value Line Index (Arithmetic)
980707 980701 Value Line Index (Geometric)
980707 980702 Vendex Intern
980707 980629 VENDEX N.V.
980707 980629 VHS Onroerend Go
980707 980701 VNU Ver.Bezit
980707 980630 wAAB (EURO) BANK RESTRUC
980707 980702 wAAB DUTCH FINAN
980707 980707 wAAB NiftyF BRIT
980707 980701 wAAB NiftyF FREN
980707 980625 wAAB NiftyF GERM
980707 980625 wAABEuroBlueSta1
980707 980701 wAABEuroBlueSta2
980707 980707 wAABNumicoCallWa
980707 980701 wAaNiftyFif1
980707 980701 wAaNiftyFif2
980707 980625 wABN AMRO HOLD92
980707 980703 wHagemeyer
980707 980701 Wilshire Small Cap Index
980707 980630 wING DUTCH FINAN
980707 980702 wING NBM-Amstelland
980707 980707 wING-group
980707 980625 wKROON MOOLEN vd
980707 980701 wMP ICE CallWarr
980707 980707 World Property F
980707 980703 wRaboDutchFinaCW
980707 980629 wRandstad97FALCO
980707 980707 wUNI-INVEST
980707 980625 Yen/Gld Japanse
980707 980703 zArgentine PESO / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zAustralia $ / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zBrazil REAL / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zCanada $ / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zECU (XEU) / Germany DM
980707 980703 zECU (XEU) / Indonesia RUPIA
980707 980703 zECU (XEU) / Mexico PESO
980707 980703 zECU (XEU) / Poland SLOTY
980707 980703 zECU (XEU) / Sth Africa RAND
980707 980703 zECU (XEU) / Sweden KRONA
980707 980703 zECU (XEU) / Switzerland FRANC
980707 980703 zEngland POUND / ECU (XEU)
980707 980701 zEngland POUND / Netherlands DGR
980707 980703 zHong Kong $ / ECU (XEU)
980707 980625 ZILVER
980707 980701 Zilver tt
980707 980707 zIndia RUPEE / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zJapan YEN / ECU (XEU)
980707 980707 zNetherlands DGR / ECU (XEU)
980707 980707 zRussia Ruble RUR / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zSaudi Arabia RIYAL / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zSth Korea WON / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zTaiwan $ / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zThailand BAHT / ECU (XEU)
980707 980703 zUS $ / Brazil REAL
980707 980703 zUS $ / Canada $
980707 980703 zUS $ / ECU (XEU)
980707 980707 zUS $ / England POUND
980707 980703 zUS $ / Germany DM
980707 980703 zUS $ / Hong Kong $
980707 980703 zUS $ / India RUPEE
980707 980703 zUS $ / Indonesia RUPIA
980707 980707 zUS $ / Japan YEN
980707 980703 zUS $ / Mexico PESO
980707 980703 zUS $ / Netherlands DGR
980707 980703 zUS $ / Poland SLOTY
980707 980703 zUS $ / Russia Ruble RUR
980707 980703 zUS $ / Sth Africa RAND
980707 980703 zUS $ / Sweden KRONA
980707 980703 zUS $ / Switzerland FRANC
980707 980707 zUS $ / Taiwan $