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[amibroker] Re: Good & Bad Re-Optimizations (for Dave)



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The cliffs we're looking not to be near are in terms of perfomance as 
it relates to different parameter values.

In your example if EMA 19 & EMA 31 are awful, but 20 through 30 are 
decent then by definition isn't 25 more robust than either 20 or 30, 
since it won't take nearly as much of a change in cycle length or 
what have you to make 20 or 30 awful as it would to make 25 awful ?

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Dave Merrill" <dmerrill@xxxx> 
wrote:
> 
>   Not mechanical enough ?  I'm clearly a believer in the use of
>   mechanical systems but I wouldn't go so far as to say that the
>   design, building, testing and evaluation of a system needs to 
result
>   in an automated club that beats me over the head.
> me neither. I just want to feel like I understood how to evaluate 
systems
> well enough to make a set of real principles out of it. it's always 
our
> choice what to actually do.
> 
>   Unpredictably changing data ... hmmmm ... doesn't that warrant 
having
>   parameters for systems that aren't near cliffs on surface plots ?
> sure, but aren't the cliffs we're really concerned with cliffs in 
price
> behavior, not parameter values? parameters don't change by 
themselves, data
> does.
> 
> is there a necessary link between EMAs 20 through 30 all working 
reasonably
> well, and EMA 25 being more robust than EMA 30 against data 
variations? is
> that so obviously true that I shouldn't even be asking?
> 
> dave


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