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Jeez, Fred, I'm
flabbergasted -- to think that I mis-remembered you saying you only traded
MFs.
<FONT
color=#000080>
Like my mentor, Dan Q
said, "What a terrible thing to have lost one's
mind. Or not to have a mindat all. How true that
is."
<FONT
color=#000080>MindlessBob
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Fred Tonetti
[mailto:ftonetti@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Wednesday, April 09, 2003 8:25
PMTo: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx; phsst@xxxxxxxxxSubject:
[amibroker] Re: Larry Williams Inner Circle Review
Phsst,
I am concerned by DD's only because of what
they do the account balance and I find that has very little to do with trading
one issue or many. If you trade many issues simultaneously with fixed
amounts then by it's nature that method may very well produce DD's that are ok
when one is lightly invested but it will also produces lower
returns. When it’s fully invested it has the potential to make more but
the risks also go up.
As far as stop loss orders goes, I'd hardly
call that being fully protected. If you ever been invested through good
size gap openings heading in the opposite direction of your position or had
the specialists purposely take out the stop loss orders you placed then you
know what I mean.
If you want an opinion about your system then
by all means put up the list of trades it made. One or more of us will
be happy to write the Excel code or other quick analysis software to evaluate
its return and associated risks with a larger degree of accuracy then
“eyeballing” it.
As far as results go … I posted this equity
chart before and I’ll post it again. Personally I’m quite comfy
trading this system. I can triple the returns while only doubling the
DD’s by using margin but I don’t usually go down that road. If you have
a system that has a MAR over 20 with low UI then maybe we should all listen
up. The system you are describing sounds very like Raschke’s “grail”
system which is hardly earth shattering and hardly without its losses.
If you’ve modified, tested and made it significantly better then that’s
wonderful but I am at best bewildered that you’d trade anything where you
didn’t know going in what to expect in terms of returns and dd’s.
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