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[amibroker] Re: Larry Williams Inner Circle Review



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Phsst,

I am concerned by DD's only because of what they do the account balance and I find that has very little to do with trading one issue or many.  If you trade many issues simultaneously with fixed amounts then by it's nature that method may very well produce DD's that are ok when one is lightly invested but it will  also produces lower returns.  When it’s fully invested it has the potential to make more but the risks also go up.

As far as stop loss orders goes, I'd hardly call that being fully protected.  If you ever been invested through good size gap openings heading in the opposite direction of your position or had the specialists purposely take out the stop loss orders you placed then you know what I mean.  

If you want an opinion about your system then by all means put up the list of trades it made.  One or more of us will be happy to write the Excel code or other quick analysis software to evaluate its return and associated risks with a larger degree of accuracy then “eyeballing” it.

As far as results go … I posted this equity chart before and I’ll post it again.   Personally I’m quite comfy trading this system.  I can triple the returns while only doubling the DD’s by using margin but I don’t usually go down that road.  If you have a system that has a MAR over 20 with low UI then maybe we should all listen up.  The system you are describing sounds very like Raschke’s “grail” system which is hardly earth shattering and hardly without its losses.  If you’ve modified, tested and made it significantly better then that’s wonderful but I am at best bewildered that you’d trade anything where you didn’t know going in what to expect in terms of returns and dd’s.

. <<...>>  








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