[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: [amibroker] Re: Larry Williams Inner Circle Review



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links



I  never in my life saw  your  great 
system
all  the ones  I saw  was  about your nice 
system
does anyone Has  and  traded  one  with 
the great system parameters?
nice day
Ben
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  dingo 
  To: <A title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  Sent: Wednesday, April 09, 2003 11:42 
  PM
  Subject: RE: [amibroker] Re: Larry 
  Williams Inner Circle Review
  
  
  <SPAN 
  >You’re right I 
  forgot to include that.
  <SPAN 
  > 
  <SPAN 
  >A 
  nice system<SPAN 
  > would have the 
  following (speaking in terms of Amibroker report statistics)
  <SPAN 
  > 
  <SPAN 
  >Annual system return 
  of 50% or better.
  <SPAN 
  >Max System % 
  Drawdown: 15% or lower.
  <SPAN 
  >Percentage of trades 
  that are profitable: 70% or higher
  <SPAN 
  >Max consec. Losers: 
  no more than 3
  <SPAN 
  >Ratio Avg win / Avg 
  Loss:  1.5 or higher
  <SPAN 
  >Profit factor: 2.5 
  or higher
  <SPAN 
  > 
  <SPAN 
  >A 
  great system:
  <SPAN 
  > 
  <SPAN 
  >Annual system return 
  of 75% or better.
  <SPAN 
  >Max System % 
  Drawdown: 12% or lower.
  <SPAN 
  >Percentage of trades 
  that are profitable: 80% or higher
  <SPAN 
  >Max consec. Losers: 
  no more than 2
  <SPAN 
  >Ratio Avg win / Avg 
  Loss:  2.0 or higher
  <SPAN 
  >Profit factor: 3.5 
  or higher
  <SPAN 
  > 
  <SPAN 
  >And both would be 
  for a limited portfolio (trading around 20 stocks out of a pool of 50 – 75 
  candidates that are selected for trading based on their performance that are 
  collected during simulated trading)
  <SPAN 
  > 
  <SPAN 
  >-----Original 
  Message-----From: phsst 
  [mailto:phsst@xxxxxxxxx] <SPAN 
  >Sent: Wednesday, April 09, 2003 11:28 
  PMTo: 
  amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<SPAN 
  >Subject: [amibroker] Re: Larry Williams 
  Inner Circle Review
  <FONT face="Times New Roman" 
  size=3> 
  <FONT face="Courier New" 
  size=2>Dale,<FONT 
  face="Courier New" size=2><SPAN 
  ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">I knew from previous posts that I had read that you were an 
  excellentsoftware developer. And 
  the .gif file you posted demonstrates that.<FONT 
  face="Courier New">But you did not answer my 
  question.> what do you 
  consider 1) Good trading system<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> results, and 2) Excellent trading system results. And 
  do you prefer> limited 
  portfolio trading or 'whole mkt' portfolios?<FONT 
  face="Courier New">If you think the results I posted were unremarkable then 
  you must havehad some point of 
  reference... eh?<FONT 
  face="Courier New">Phsst<FONT 
  face="Courier New">--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "dingo" 
  <dingo@xxxx> wrote:> 
  Good trading system results?  I’m still working on that.  
  I’veattached a gif of my latest 
  project â€" a portfolio test bed that will<FONT 
  face="Courier New">allow me to test a variety of formula on a series of 
  portfolios underdifferent 
  rules.  I’m particularly interested in trying to see if 
  Ican get a formula to detect when 
  stocks come into a tradable zone and<FONT 
  face="Courier New">when/if it does begin trading it until the formula detects 
  that theresults are falling 
  off.> 
  >  
  > <FONT 
  face="Courier New">> d> 
  >  
  > <FONT 
  face="Courier New">> -----Original Message-----<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> From: phsst [mailto:phsst@xxxx] 
  > Sent: Wednesday, April 09, 
  2003 10:58 PM> To: 
  amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> 
  Subject: [amibroker] Re: Larry Williams Inner Circle 
  Review> 
  >  
  > <FONT 
  face="Courier New">> Dale,> 
  > No offense taken. In fact 
  your observation that the trading system<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> results I posted were 'unremarkable' is the conclusion 
  I came to when> nobody 
  responded. That is why I made the 'patsy at the poker 
  table'> 
  remark.> 
  > <Could you expand on how 
  you interpreted them to be the results of a<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> 'good trading system'?><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  Because I've traded this particular system profitably. Just that 
  simple.> 
  > No kidding... my purpose in 
  posting my trading system results was to<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> try to get others to provide some insight into what 
  can be achieved in> trading 
  system development with Amibroker where it concerns 
  superior> backtesting results. 
  (It was NOT my intention to brag about my own<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> systems!).<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > So 
  Dale, now a question for you... in Amibroker terms, give us 
  some> point of reference to 
  what you consider 1) Good trading system<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> results, and 2) Excellent trading system results. And 
  do you prefer> limited 
  portfolio trading or 'whole mkt' portfolios?<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > No 
  need to divulge details of proprietary trading systems. Just 
  give> us an idea of what can 
  be achieved with Amibroker in real life.<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  Phsst> 
  > --- In 
  amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "dingo" <dingo@xxxx> 
  wrote:> > Regarding your 
  reference to your ¡Èbest trading system 
  results¡É:> > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > No offense intended but 
  at the time you posted the results I looked at<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > them and found them to be quite unremarkable and 
  don¡Çtunderstand 
  your> > characterization of 
  them.  Could you expand on how you interpreted<FONT 
  face="Courier New">them> > 
  to be the results of a ¡Ègood trading system¡É?<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > 
  > > > 
  > > 
  Thanks!> > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > 
  d> > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > -----Original 
  Message-----> > From: phsst 
  [mailto:phsst@xxxx]> > 
  Sent: Tuesday, April 08, 2003 11:50 PM<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > To: 
  amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> 
  > Subject: [amibroker] Re: Larry Williams Inner Circle 
  Review> > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > 
  Yuki,> > 
  > > Glad to see you back 
  from your vacation, and I hope the portion of<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > your vacation exclusive of Larry Williams was 
  enjoyable.> > 
  > > Over the years, I've 
  been to two or three 'guru' seminars, and like<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > you, I've generally been disappointed in the 
  quality of the> > 
  presentations, not to mention the presentors.<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > 
  > Frankly, until I started watching the AmiBroker board, the single 
  best> > published work I 
  had read was Linda Rasche's 'Street Smarts' book.<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > Linda did not hold much back and did not let her 
  ego get involved in> > the 
  presentation at all. Her presentation primarily focused 
  upon> > futures, while I 
  tend to focus upon stocks. But her approach worked<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > well in any trading 
  environment.> > 
  > > I thought I had 
  developed a few good trading systems before getting<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > involved in this AmiBroker board. And when I 
  recently posted my best> > 
  trading system results, there wasn't much feedback from 
  others> > regarding 
  comparable results.> > 
  > > Then I concluded that 
  like the old Poker Player axiom... if you don't<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > know who the 'patsy' is at the table, then it is 
  probably you!> > 
  > > So I'll probably hold 
  my cards a little closer to my chest for a while<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > until I get the 'feel of the 
  game'.> > 
  > > Anyway, glad you are 
  back.> > 
  > > 
  Phsst> > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > --- In 
  amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Yuki Taga <yukitaga@xxxx> 
  wrote:> > > Hi 
  DT,> > 
  >> > > Tuesday, April 
  8, 2003, 3:38:59 PM, you wrote:<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > DT> Yuki, Read <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/10072<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > DT> to see the  basic info for L. 
  Williams well known indicator. Who<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > DT> could imagine to put his name in ANY 
  T/A link reproducing> > 
  > DT> Stochastic ?> > 
  >> > > Sad, and 
  surprising, but he did come off a bit like a glory<FONT 
  face="Courier New">seeker to> 
  > > me, so I guess I'm not all that surprised.  He seemed to want 
  to> > > claim a lot of 
  original TA stuff, and that other people copied him a<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > lot.<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > Quite frankly, I was surprised with his 
  treatment on somethings.  
  He> > > likes ADX a lot, 
  but he seemed to not really understand how it works<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > to me.  He calls it a "trend integrity" 
  indicator, and advises that> 
  > > when it makes extreme highs and then declines, the decline 
  is<FONT 
  face="Courier New">showing> 
  > > you that there is no "integrity" in the embryonic new trend, 
  andthat<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > it is bound to fail.  Actually, this is 
  quite wrong IMO, as the> > 
  > reversal in ADX at trend change is simply a "bleeding off", if 
  you> > > will, of the 
  high level of trending that HAD been present.  It is 
  a> > > symptom of the 
  old trend, not yet referencing the new direction at<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > all.  After a while, if ADX does not 
  stop falling and startrising 
  of> > > course, then the 
  new direction is certainly suspect. But, that<FONT 
  face="Courier New">is not> 
  > > what Larry was talking about. He was talking simply about 
  the<FONT 
  face="Courier New">initial> 
  > > fall in ADX from a high level, and that this fact makes a 
  new> > > direction 
  suspect.  That is not correct, IMO.<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > It is only sometime later that the failure 
  of ADX to stopfalling 
  and> > > start rising 
  with the new trend, that the new trend becomes 
  suspect> > > (and of 
  course *all* new trends, especially reversals coming out 
  of> > > strong trending 
  periods, are initially quite suspect). But a new<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > embryonic trend is not suspect simply 
  because ADX is bleeding off> 
  > > levels reached due completely to the strength of the old 
  trend.  A> > > 
  declining ADX is perhaps useful only to tell you to STAY OUT of 
  a> > > trade, IMO. Where 
  the ADX is most useful to me is when it just<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > crosses or just about crosses into strong 
  trending territory -- on> > 
  > its way up -- signalling that there may be a train 
  departingthat 
  you> > > want to get 
  on.> > 
  >> > > Maybe I'm 
  splitting hairs here, but I really thought he was<FONT 
  face="Courier New">trying to> 
  > > be a bit too "original" here.<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > Best,<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > Yuki<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > 
  mailto:yukitaga@xxxx> > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > > Yahoo! Groups 
  Sponsor> > 
  > > 
  > > 
  > 
  ><<A 
  href="">http://us.ard.yahoo.com/M=249982.3083889.4452939.1728375/D=egroupweb/S=<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">1705632198:HM/A=1524963/R=0/*http:/hits.411web.com/cgi-bin/autoredir?cam<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  p=556&lineid=3083889¢ç=egroupweb&pos=HM><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > 
  > > > 
  > 
  ><<A 
  href="">http://us.adserver.yahoo.com/l?M=249982.3083889.4452939.1728375/D=egrou<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  pmail/S=:HM/A=1524963/rand=975329234><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > 
  > > > Send BUG REPORTS 
  to bugs@xxxx> > Send 
  SUGGESTIONS to suggest@xxxx> 
  > -----------------------------------------<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > Post AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: 
  amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> > 
  (Web page: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  --------------------------------------------<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > Check group FAQ at:<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > > 
  > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the 
  Yahoo!> > <<A 
  href="">http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/>  
  Terms of Service.> 
  > <FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  > <FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  Yahoo! Groups Sponsor> 
  > <FONT 
  face="Courier New">> <<A 
  href="">http://us.ard.yahoo.com/M=249982.3083889.4452939.1728375/D=egroupweb/S=170= 
  <FONT 
  face="Courier New">5632198:HM/A=1524963/R=0/*http:/hits.411web.com/cgi-bin/autoredir?camp=556&l= 
  <FONT 
  face="Courier New">ineid=3083889âˆÂ=egroupweb&pos=HM><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  >  
  <<A 
  href="">http://us.adserver.yahoo.com/l?M=249982.3083889.4452939.1728375/D=egroupma= 
  <FONT 
  face="Courier New">il/S=:HM/A=1524963/rand=629372690><FONT 
  face="Courier New">> > 
  > Send BUG REPORTS to 
  bugs@xxxx> Send SUGGESTIONS to 
  suggest@xxxx> 
  -----------------------------------------<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> Post AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: 
  amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx > 
  (Web page: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> 
  --------------------------------------------<FONT 
  face="Courier New">> Check group FAQ at:<FONT 
  face="Courier New"><A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 
  > <FONT 
  face="Courier New">> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the 
  Yahoo!<<A 
  href="">http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/>  
  Terms of 
  Service.<FONT 
  face="Courier New" size=2>Send BUG REPORTS to 
  bugs@xxxxxxxxxxxxx<SPAN 
  ><FONT 
  face="Courier New">Send SUGGESTIONS to 
  suggest@xxxxxxxxxxxxx<FONT 
  face="Courier New">-----------------------------------------<FONT 
  face="Courier New">Post AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: 
  amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx (Web 
  page: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)<FONT 
  face="Courier New">--------------------------------------------<FONT 
  face="Courier New">Check group FAQ at: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 
  Your 
  use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the <A 
  href="">Yahoo! Terms of 
  Service. 
  Send 
  BUG REPORTS to bugs@xxxxxxxxxxxxxSend SUGGESTIONS to 
  suggest@xxxxxxxxxxxxx-----------------------------------------Post 
  AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx (Web page: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)--------------------------------------------Check 
  group FAQ at: <A 
  href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 
  Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the <A 
  href="">Yahoo! Terms of Service. 







Yahoo! Groups Sponsor












Send BUG REPORTS to bugs@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Send SUGGESTIONS to suggest@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
-----------------------------------------
Post AmiQuote-related messages ONLY to: amiquote@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
(Web page: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amiquote/messages/)
--------------------------------------------
Check group FAQ at: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html



Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.