RE: [RT] sp500 / ? for Ben

["Robert Pardo at Mindspring" <rep@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Thanks.

 

Regards,

 

Bob Pardo

 

From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Ben
Sent: Friday, February 08, 2008 6:43 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] sp500 / ? for Ben

 

Attach is the long term trading

(with today's data)

it is not cycle based

but to detrend the   momentum, the rate of change,  and magnitude of the  buying force,,

I have combined   3   of them into a clear  tool,,

where are we in this move,,

(this is looking at  a window of   3  month)

this only gives 10-20 trades per year

and can be applied to any stock, commodity,, index,,

 

private requests for a specific advice are welcome

Ben

----- Original Message -----

From: Robert Pardo at Mindspring

To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Sent: Friday, February 08, 2008 5:44 PM

Subject: RE: [RT] sp500 / ? for Ben

 

Hi Ben,

I would appreciate it if you would be so kind as to send me a snapshot of that when you get a minute.

My weekly readings are very bearish also.

Was that last indicator on which you updated us a plot composed of cycles?  It looks so to me.  I used to do a lot of work with cycles.

Regards,

Bob Pardo

From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Ben
Sent: Friday, February 08, 2008 2:50 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] sp500

Hello Robert

the  overall picture you are definetely right

we also broke the trendline on weekly bars from 2000!!!!

Ben

----- Original Message -----

From: Robert Pardo at Mindspring

To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Sent: Friday, February 08, 2008 2:31 PM

Subject: RE: [RT] sp500

Whereas I have a great deal of respect for cyclic and market extreme indicators, all of my indications are that we are in the start of a bear market.

Of course, this is not to say that we will not see some counter trend rallies.

However, according to one of my major indicators, last month was the first bearish monthly close since April 2003 which was the last month of the last bear market.

Regards,

Bob Pardo

From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Ben
Sent: Thursday, February 07, 2008 10:07 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Cc: TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx; vincenn
Subject: [RT] sp500

Attach is a gif of the sp500

The blue line is not the close

It it  the long term trading

an indicator that reflect where we are ,  in what stage ,

Top line is top

Bottom line is bottoming process,,

As you can see, we are  at a begging of an up move,

This does not mean a strait up from here,, but

it means we are closer to a bottom

(risk to down is only 15-20 sp points

reward to up 65-75 points)

Ben

---

No virus found in this incoming message.
Checked by AVG Free Edition.
Version: 7.5.516 / Virus Database: 269.19.21/1266 - Release Date: 2/8/2008 10:06 AM

---

No virus found in this incoming message.
Checked by AVG Free Edition.
Version: 7.5.516 / Virus Database: 269.19.21/1266 - Release Date: 2/8/2008 10:06 AM

__._,_.___

Your email settings: Individual Email|Traditional
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch to Fully Featured
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe

__,_._,___