RE: [RT] Re: DJI Long Term based on Monthly Data Series, RealTraders Email List Archive

Ben,

So therefore the market will neither go up or down? Heads we go with Clyde’s forecast, tails we go with the proven Presidential cycle?

I assume all the economic mumbo jumbo you listed was said tongue in cheek as only a fool would actually make a forecast based on what the ‘big govt’ is telling us. Also, there are other markets besides the US too you know? If you want to talk fundamentals then one of the strongest factors if you’re so bearish on the economy and therefore the USD as well, is that equity markets tend to move opposite to major currency moves.

I’m not a bull nor bear btw. I merely raised the opposing view as I saw a chart on it just a few days ago. Everyone sees the markets as they choose to. Most people have already decided which way the market is going and then back up their view with ‘evidence’. All quite amusing really.

Adrian

From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Ben
Sent: Wednesday, 2 January 2008 4:13 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] Re: DJI Long Term based on Monthly Data Series

Hello Adrian

What worked in the past does not mean in will work in the future,,

current forces,(none political) are pushing rates up

inflation,

and with big gov telling us to live without food and energy to calculate inflation that's a lot of bull

let them buy food and gas

the world is not a fool,,

they will not continue to buy us ,,, if they see problems here

and,,, every day we find more,,,

this is heading south

not in a strait line but a slow pain

Ben

----- Original Message -----

From: Adrian Pitt

To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Sent: Tuesday, January 01, 2008 11:33 PM

Subject: RE: [RT] Re: DJI Long Term based on Monthly Data Series

And yet the Presidential cycle shows 2008 as being unanimously bullish. So who’s wrong and who’s right?

Adrian

From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of todd horton
Sent: Wednesday, 2 January 2008 3:30 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] Re: DJI Long Term based on Monthly Data Series

I see your chart is predicting down until 9 30/09

I watch astro comments in another group and noticed this following
similarity.

Todd

From: "Don Ewers" <dewers@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2008 18:52:32 -0600

The Moon's north Node enters Aquarius on Monday January 7, 2008 and
leaves it on or about July 26, 2009. According to the McWhirter
cycle (reference Money & the Markets by Bates & Bowles, p.43-45) this
would put the nadir (low point) of an economic cycle in this period,
indicating a low in economic activity, after which economic activity
although slow, will begin rising. The question becomes how severe
(or not) will the nadir be? Don Ewers

On Tue, 1 Jan 2008 21:50:24 -0600, you wrote:

>A statistical analysis of cycle lengths that exist in monthly
>Dow time series shows a 41 and 88 month primary cycles.
>
>In the attached we have shown two approaches to estimating
>what will be the path of prices over the next few years.
>
>Approach 1 is simple "spectral" analysis and a projection
>based on the 41 and 88 month cycles.
>
>Approach 2 is the more complex SwingMachine approach
>using a pivot search of 41 bars and showing two paths of
>prices that might be possible.
>
>THIS IS VERY LONG-TERM STUFF ! ! !
>
>Clyde
>- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
>Clyde Lee phone: 713.783.9540
>SYTECH Corporation
>7910 Westglen, Suite 105
>Houston, TX 77063 fax: 713.783.1092
>WebSite: www.theswingmachine.com
>- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Andy Askey
> To: Time-Price-Research-I@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Sent: Tuesday, January 01, 2008 09:37 AM
> Subject: [Time-Price-Research-I] SPX Time Geometry
>
>
> The 4th chart here shows temporal geometry since 2002.
>
> http://ajaskey.wso.net/investor/spx_cycles.htm
>
> The SPX was pretty easy pretty easy to call in 2007 in the long term. The shorter term charts work well if they are watched regularly. The following pattern after at top or bottom is not predictable, but the chart can be used for trading after 25% of the time of the previous move has elapsed. The 50% time / 50% price point is more often than not hit and is tradeable. If it is not hit, then that information shows the strength of trend going forward.
>
> Andy

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