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I agree that it's CONTRARY....but only becomes valid as such when the
sentiment indicator begins to TURN the other way.....
> -----Original Message-----
> From: BobsKC [mailto:bobskc@xxxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Thursday, May 22, 2003 9:07 PM
> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re[3]: [RT] spx daily
>
>
> Again, what is the bullish sentiment? What people tell pollsters or what
> they actually do? If you go by what they are doing, and if you
> believe in
> contrarian principals, (which you obviously do), then you would be long.
>
> Bob
>
>
> At 03:18 AM 5/23/2003 +0400, you wrote:
> >Hello BobsKC,
> >
> >I am short. To me highest bullish sentiment is a sign of near top.
> >
> >Best regards,
> > Alex mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
> >
> >
> >Friday, May 23, 2003, 3:01:13 AM, you wrote:
> >
> >B> Bullish sentiment may be high but in fact, shorting is robust
> and getting
> >B> stronger. So do we go by what people say or what they do?
> >
> >B> Bob
> >
> >
> >
> >B> At 02:52 AM 5/23/2003 +0400, you wrote:
> > >>Hello Mark,
> > >>
> > >>%Bearish today is lowest since 1991:
> > >>
> > >>http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/inv_intel.asp
> > >>
> > >>". High readings suggest excessive optimism, which typically occurs
> > >>when buying strength has been tapped out, and low readings represent
> > >>depleted selling strength, and tend to precede market rallies. We
> > >>normally view a bullish percentage higher than 55 combined with a
> > >>bearish reading lower 30% as bearish for the market."
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>Best regards,
> > >> Alex mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>Thursday, May 22, 2003, 9:36:17 PM, you wrote:
> > >>
> > >>MS> You meant "higher high", right ?
> > >>MS> Don't underestimate the bulls....they are wildly optimistic right
> > >>MS> now.....and holding this market up.
> > >>MS> Bull-Bear survey ratio now at the highest point in years....
> > >>MS> -----Original Message-----
> > >>MS> From: none [mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > >>MS> Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 10:40 PM
> > >>MS> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > >>MS> Subject: Re: [RT] spx daily
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>MS> Hello
> > >>
> > >>MS> I am with you that there is a high probability that we make a
> > >>lower high
> > >>MS> tomorrow or Fri. and then collapse
> > >>MS> Ben
> > >>MS> ----- Original Message -----
> > >>MS> From: Rhonda Guilbeaux
> > >>MS> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > >>MS> Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 7:37 PM
> > >>MS> Subject: [RT] spx daily
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>MS> Last quarter's candle waist 882.
> > >>MS> right at the 200 dma area.
> > >>
> > >>MS> Higher support..at the 898 area.. (near the rising 50dma)
> > >>MS> Wouldn't be surprised to see this price level
> tested.. and also to
> > >>MS> hold, initially
> > >>MS> anyway.
> > >>MS> if not, 867-882 looks to be a good higher support area.
> > >>MS> Breaking above last weeks highs and more important
> > >>MS> 953-955 then I am incorrect in my assessment that
> last week's
> > >>MS> high is "semi" important and perhaps
> > >>MS> a slightly stronger pullback than what
> > >>MS> we've seen thus far coming off the
> > >>MS> March higher low.
> > >>
> > >>MS> Tend to think any high made latter week
> > >>MS> will be a lower high than last weeks
> > >>MS> high as
> > >>MS> last weeks low was broken below.
> > >>MS> I do
> > >>MS> Best,
> > >>MS> Rhonda
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
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> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
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