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actually in Japan, overnight rates is near 0%, 10 year = 1%, 30yr =
1.7%. I think you have a serious deflationary problem when the
entire yield curve is laying at the bottom. The central bank is
trying to stimulate and everyone buys govt bonds because all other
asset classes are considered too risky.
--- In realtraders@xxxx, "bondo92677" <bruce.larson@xxxx> wrote:
> Depends on how you measure steepness. In 11/92, ff=3%, 30yr=7.8%,
> currently its ff=1.75, 30yr=4.7%. Curve wasn't that steep in 1929-
> 1932 from what I've seen. Of course the bond market wasn't what it
> it is now back then.
>
>
>
>
> --- In realtraders@xxxx, "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxx> wrote:
> > Not when it is THIS STEEP....
> > last time this steepness occurred ?
> > 1929
> >
> > When it's this steep, there is a fundamental problem in the
economy.
> >
> > > -----Original Message-----
> > > From: bondo92677 [mailto:bruce.larson@x...]
> > > Sent: Saturday, September 14, 2002 3:55 AM
> > > To: realtraders@xxxx
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] Hello Steep, steep Yield Curve..... bye-bye
> stock
> > > market
> > >
> > >
> > > I dont' quite understand what you're saying. The general view
has
> > > always been an inverted curve (ala1989,2000)leads to recession.
> > > Shouldn't a steep curve mean the opposite?
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxx> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxx>
> > > > To: "RealtradersList" <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > Sent: Thursday, September 12, 2002 6:44 PM
> > > > Subject: [RT] Hello Steep, steep Yield Curve..... bye-bye
stock
> > > market
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > http://stockcharts.com/charts/YieldCurve.html
> > > >
> > > > So what do you think it means? I ran their simulation. At the
> > > beginning of
> > > > the S&P chart,
> > > > the curve was pointing up. At the top it went flat and then
> down.
> > > Now it is
> > > > pointing up again which I guess means the stock market
should
> go
> > > up? I am
> > > > not sure how to read this? Please advise.
> > > >
> > > > Thanks,
> > > >
> > > > Norman
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > > > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxx
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
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> > > http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxx
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
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> > >
> > >
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