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Depends on how you measure steepness. In 11/92, ff=3%, 30yr=7.8%,
currently its ff=1.75, 30yr=4.7%. Curve wasn't that steep in 1929-
1932 from what I've seen. Of course the bond market wasn't what it
it is now back then.
--- In realtraders@xxxx, "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxx> wrote:
> Not when it is THIS STEEP....
> last time this steepness occurred ?
> 1929
>
> When it's this steep, there is a fundamental problem in the economy.
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: bondo92677 [mailto:bruce.larson@x...]
> > Sent: Saturday, September 14, 2002 3:55 AM
> > To: realtraders@xxxx
> > Subject: Re: [RT] Hello Steep, steep Yield Curve..... bye-bye
stock
> > market
> >
> >
> > I dont' quite understand what you're saying. The general view has
> > always been an inverted curve (ala1989,2000)leads to recession.
> > Shouldn't a steep curve mean the opposite?
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxx> wrote:
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxx>
> > > To: "RealtradersList" <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > Sent: Thursday, September 12, 2002 6:44 PM
> > > Subject: [RT] Hello Steep, steep Yield Curve..... bye-bye stock
> > market
> > >
> > >
> > > > http://stockcharts.com/charts/YieldCurve.html
> > >
> > > So what do you think it means? I ran their simulation. At the
> > beginning of
> > > the S&P chart,
> > > the curve was pointing up. At the top it went flat and then
down.
> > Now it is
> > > pointing up again which I guess means the stock market should
go
> > up? I am
> > > not sure how to read this? Please advise.
> > >
> > > Thanks,
> > >
> > > Norman
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
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> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
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> > > >
> > > >
> >
> >
> >
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> >
> >
> >
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> >
> >
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