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Funny there used to be all the talk about the Japanese carry
trade...I haven't heard anything about the US carry trade...buy
treasuries and finance with short term repos. Great fun til the
party's over.
Chris
--- In realtraders@xxxx, "bondo92677" <bruce.larson@xxxx> wrote:
> They can do exactly what the Japanese banks are doing now. Borrow
> for nothing and invest in long term government bonds. Forget about
> lending money.
>
>
>
>
> --- In realtraders@xxxx, "tradewynne" <tradewynne@xxxx> wrote:
> > > More debt for the banks, lower interest rates for their
earnings,
> > they'll be looking for other sources just like the accountants
> were.
> > Did I mention more debt for the banks? God, I sure hope there is
a
> > collapse this year. If we don't have one soon, when things
finally
> > do break, it could be the Dark Ages for the Third Millenium.
> >
> > I'm not sure where to file this one.
> >
> > A) Great minds think alike?
> >
> > B) Unlikely coincidences?
> >
> > Kent, you sound EXACTLY like Robert Prechter (of all people).
> > Don't get me wrong, I share the same fears.
> >
> > BW
> >
> >
> >
> > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Kent Rollins" <kentr@xxxx> wrote:
> > > That should keep the housing market/bubble going. Insana had
> > Robert Kessler tonight. A few years ago when he was on, he cited
a
> > study that showed the market cap of Microsoft was worth all the
> farm
> > land in the mid-West. "Unsustainable", he said. Tonight he
> pointed
> > out that the 40 year high in bonds that we are now bumping up
> against
> > was at the time (early 60's) a 30 year low. When you fill a
glass
> up
> > with water, everything looks backwards.
> > >
> > > More debt for the banks, lower interest rates for their
earnings,
> > they'll be looking for other sources just like the accountants
> were.
> > Did I mention more debt for the banks? God, I sure hope there is
a
> > collapse this year. If we don't have one soon, when things
finally
> > do break, it could be the Dark Ages for the Third Millenium.
> > >
> > > Kent
> > >
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: profitok
> > > To: realtraders@xxxx
> > > Cc: gannsghost@xxxx ; Dorothy Carter ; Vincent DONOVAN
> > > Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 5:52 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] Bond Bubble?
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Ultimate High 120-12016 circa
> > > 3/2003 , 120 for June contract,
> > > and between 10916 and 120 a few round trips to 112
114
> > 116 118
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: Ray Raffurty
> > > To: realtraders@xxxx ; gannsghost@xxxx
> > > Cc: Dorothy Carter ; Vincent DONOVAN
> > > Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 11:05 AM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] Bond Bubble?
> > >
> > >
> > > Hi Ben,
> > >
> > > It is quite possible we will both be right, just on different
> > time frames. I know you are a nimble trader with plenty enough
> savvy
> > to know when to hit the sell button (a nimble old fox {;-). My
> > concern is for those who are less sophisticated and will get hit
> > again in the 401-k's.
> > >
> > > What is your up side target from 109?
> > >
> > > Good luck and good trading,
> > >
> > > Ray Raffurty
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: profitok
> > > To: realtraders@xxxx ; gannsghost@xxxx
> > > Cc: Dorothy Carter ; Vincent DONOVAN
> > > Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 10:41 AM
> > > Subject: Fw: [RT] Bond Bubble?
> > >
> > >
> > > HelloRay
> > > I am your age too
> > > 54
> > > I agree, However
> > > Will be a buyer at 109
> > > Ben
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: Ray Raffurty
> > > To: realtraders@xxxx
> > > Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 10:12 AM
> > > Subject: [RT] Bond Bubble?
> > >
> > >
> > > In my short 53 years on this planet, I have only learned
one
> > thing for sure... What goes up must come down and if it goes
> > parabolic it comes down just as fast and furiously. Remember the
> dot
> > com everyone HAD to own? The great masses are, as usual,
panicking
> > into bonds just as the economy begins to recover. There may be
> some
> > more upside, but I wouldn't go un-hedged. The chart says it all.
> > >
> > > Good luck and good trading,
> > >
> > > Ray Raffurty
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
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> > >
> > >
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> > >
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> > >
> > >
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> > >
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