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Re: [RT] Bond Bubble?



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Prechter needs a big call to get his subscriber base up.  He'll hang on
anything that might indicate a new depression coming.

Kent


----- Original Message -----
From: "tradewynne" <tradewynne@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, August 16, 2002 10:08 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Bond Bubble?


> More debt for the banks, lower interest rates for their earnings,
they'll be looking for other sources just like the accountants were.
Did I mention more debt for the banks?  God, I sure hope there is a
collapse this year.  If we don't have one soon, when things finally
do break, it could be the Dark Ages for the Third Millenium.

I'm not sure where to file this one.

A) Great minds think alike?

B) Unlikely coincidences?

Kent, you sound EXACTLY like Robert Prechter (of all people).
Don't get me wrong, I share the same fears.

BW



--- In realtraders@xxxx, "Kent Rollins" <kentr@xxxx> wrote:
> That should keep the housing market/bubble going.  Insana had
Robert Kessler tonight.  A few years ago when he was on, he cited a
study that showed the market cap of Microsoft was worth all the farm
land in the mid-West.  "Unsustainable", he said.  Tonight he pointed
out that the 40 year high in bonds that we are now bumping up against
was at the time (early 60's) a 30 year low.  When you fill a glass up
with water, everything looks backwards.
>
> More debt for the banks, lower interest rates for their earnings,
they'll be looking for other sources just like the accountants were.
Did I mention more debt for the banks?  God, I sure hope there is a
collapse this year.  If we don't have one soon, when things finally
do break, it could be the Dark Ages for the Third Millenium.
>
> Kent
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: profitok
> To: realtraders@xxxx
> Cc: gannsghost@xxxx ; Dorothy Carter ; Vincent DONOVAN
> Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 5:52 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] Bond Bubble?
>
>
>
> Ultimate High   120-12016 circa
> 3/2003  ,  120 for June contract,
> and  between  10916 and   120   a few   round trips to 112 114
116  118
>   ----- Original Message -----
>   From: Ray Raffurty
>   To: realtraders@xxxx ; gannsghost@xxxx
>   Cc: Dorothy Carter ; Vincent DONOVAN
>   Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 11:05 AM
>   Subject: Re: [RT] Bond Bubble?
>
>
>   Hi Ben,
>
>   It is quite possible we will both be right, just on different
time frames.  I know you are a nimble trader with plenty enough savvy
to know when to hit the sell button (a nimble old fox {;-).  My
concern is for those who are less sophisticated and will get hit
again in the 401-k's.
>
>   What is your up side target from 109?
>
>   Good luck and good trading,
>
>   Ray Raffurty
>
>     ----- Original Message -----
>     From: profitok
>     To: realtraders@xxxx ; gannsghost@xxxx
>     Cc: Dorothy Carter ; Vincent DONOVAN
>     Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 10:41 AM
>     Subject: Fw: [RT] Bond Bubble?
>
>
>     HelloRay
>     I am your age too
>     54
>     I agree, However
>     Will be a buyer at 109
>     Ben
>     ----- Original Message -----
>     From: Ray Raffurty
>     To: realtraders@xxxx
>     Sent: Thursday, August 15, 2002 10:12 AM
>     Subject: [RT] Bond Bubble?
>
>
>     In my short 53 years on this planet, I have only learned one
thing for sure... What goes up must come down and if it goes
parabolic it comes down just as fast and furiously.  Remember the dot
com everyone HAD to own?  The great masses are, as usual, panicking
into bonds just as the economy begins to recover.  There may be some
more upside, but I wouldn't go un-hedged.  The chart says it all.
>
>     Good luck and good trading,
>
>     Ray Raffurty
>
>
>
>
>
>
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