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Re[2]: [RT] Re: One Day Rally or Start of New Trend



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Hello Clyde,

recently   I  completed  small  study  of  similar  nature  for  ~2000
individual  stocks:  I tried to figure out wherever dependance existed
between  strength  of  1-day  rally  from  bottom  on September 21 AND
strength  of  consecutive  up-swing  into December 5. for each stock I
calculated  2  numbers:  %%  it  made  on  September 21 and %% it made
between  September  21 and December 5. then I plotted all these stocks
on  2-dimensional graph where X-axis represents 1-st number and Y-axis
represents  2-nd  number.  should any statistical dependance existed I
would  see points grouping along diagonal LINE razing from zero to the
right  upper  corner.  but  nothing proved my initial assumption which
sounded  "logical"  at  the  first  take.  see attached. NO remarkable
grouping  at  all.  conclusion:  how  stock  acted on the first day of
market rally had no implication for 2-month up-swing.

Best regards,
 Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx


Thursday, July 25, 2002, 4:50:16 PM, you wrote:

CL> Attached are 3 charts covering time periods in which significant up
CL> moves began.

CL> The red bars are days in which the range of the high for that day to
CL> the lower low of that or the prior day exceed 6 percent.

CL> Now you have a basis for deciding whether there is a likelihood of
CL> this being more than a one day rally.

CL> Clyde


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