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RE: Re[2]: [RT] Re: One Day Rally or Start of New Trend



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nicely done......and this makes sense.....many laggards bounce.....only
temporarily.

> -----Original Message-----
> From: Alex Bell [mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, July 26, 2002 7:19 PM
> To: Clyde Lee
> Subject: Re[2]: [RT] Re: One Day Rally or Start of New Trend
>
>
> Hello Clyde,
>
> recently   I  completed  small  study  of  similar  nature  for  ~2000
> individual  stocks:  I tried to figure out wherever dependance existed
> between  strength  of  1-day  rally  from  bottom  on September 21 AND
> strength  of  consecutive  up-swing  into December 5. for each stock I
> calculated  2  numbers:  %%  it  made  on  September 21 and %% it made
> between  September  21 and December 5. then I plotted all these stocks
> on  2-dimensional graph where X-axis represents 1-st number and Y-axis
> represents  2-nd  number.  should any statistical dependance existed I
> would  see points grouping along diagonal LINE razing from zero to the
> right  upper  corner.  but  nothing proved my initial assumption which
> sounded  "logical"  at  the  first  take.  see attached. NO remarkable
> grouping  at  all.  conclusion:  how  stock  acted on the first day of
> market rally had no implication for 2-month up-swing.
>
> Best regards,
>  Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
>
>
> Thursday, July 25, 2002, 4:50:16 PM, you wrote:
>
> CL> Attached are 3 charts covering time periods in which significant up
> CL> moves began.
>
> CL> The red bars are days in which the range of the high for that day to
> CL> the lower low of that or the prior day exceed 6 percent.
>
> CL> Now you have a basis for deciding whether there is a likelihood of
> CL> this being more than a one day rally.
>
> CL> Clyde
>
>
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