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RE: [RT] Re: forecasting-track record



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It has 
nothing to do with luck....only good research.
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  <FONT 
  face=Tahoma size=2>-----Original Message-----From: wavemechanic 
  [mailto:wd78@xxxxxxxxxxxx] Sent: Thursday, 11 July 2002 11:08 
  PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] Re: 
  forecasting-track record
   
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    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
    <A title=davidjennings@xxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:davidjennings@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>David Jennings 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Thursday, July 11, 2002 6:28 
    AM
    Subject: Re: [RT] Re: forecasting-track 
    record
    
    Out of print I'm told. Looks like I'll have to stick to Miner.
     
    You are in luck.  It is readily 
    available from a variety of sources (Amazon, Traders Library, 
    etc.).
    ----- Original Message 
    -----From: "Adrian Pitt" <<A 
    href="mailto:apitt@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>apitt@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To: <<A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: 
    Thursday, July 11, 2002 10:18 AMSubject: RE: [RT] Re: forecasting-track 
    record> Earl,>> Miners work is good, but his EW 
    is fairly simplistic, but he does> put it into a form that can be 
    used by traders.  If anyone truly wants> to understand markets 
    better and apply Elliott Wave in a far more> accurate and scientific 
    way there is ONLY ONE SOURCE of good> information.> and that's 
    Glen Neely's book.  I STRONGLY WARN readers though not to> 
    bother> With it unless EWT really takes your interest.  It's a 
    big book and> EVERY PAGE> has critical information on it, so 
    lots of learning and practicing. But> it> works, 
    impeccably.  Its not a book about trading though, only accurate> 
    wave> reading.>> Adrian>> > 
    -----Original Message-----> > From: Earl Adamy 
    [mailto:eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx]> > Sent: Thursday, 11 July 2002 1:46 
    AM> > To: <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> 
    > Subject: Re: [RT] Re: forecasting-track record> >> 
    >> > I think you make two valid points: know how to do the 
    counts> > yourself and be able to control/apply your own counts 
    when> > you don't like the automated counts. I highly recommend 
    the> > simplified EW approach used by Robert Miner in his 
    Dynamic> > Trader book ($100 with full money back guarantee 
    at> > <A 
    href="http://www.dynamictraders.com";>www.dynamictraders.com) ... I don't 
    use the DT3 software. I'm> > not familiar with EW3 (I did have 
    WinWaves and didn't care> > for it), however AGet which I use, 
    allows one to control> > counts to a limited degree (short term, 
    aggressive, regular,> > long term, plus localize) ... as a last 
    resort I just turn> > the EW counts off and apply my own 
    labels.> >> > Earl> >> > ----- 
    Original Message -----> > From: "wavemechanic" <<A 
    href="mailto:wd78@xxxxxxxxxxxx";>wd78@xxxxxxxxxxxx>> > To: 
    <<A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> 
    > Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 9:28 AM> > Subject: Re: [RT] 
    Re: forecasting-track record> >> >> >> 
    >   ----- Original Message -----> >   From: 
    Karen Beckwith> >   To: <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> 
    >   Sent: Wednesday, July 10, 2002 10:16 AM> 
    >   Subject: Re: [RT] Re: forecasting-track record> 
    >> >> >   Jeff:> >   
    Looking for a holy grail?  Have u ever looked into the EW3> > 
    (Elliott Wave)> >   software?  I can't find anyone 
    who uses it, but it sounds> > awfully good.> 
    >   Anyone here familiar w/ EW3?> >> 
    >   I have not used EWII but did use the previous 
    version> > WinWaves, and EWII is supposed to have a better 
    analysis> > engine.  However, a couple of thoughts.  
    What is the correct> > count?  There are many counts and in 
    the last analysis the> > only one that is right is yours.  So 
    being able to do your> > own count is important, and the software 
    is a tool to> > increase your efficiency and, perhaps, help you 
    over the> > rough spots.  Having said that, one important 
    feature that I> > would be sure to have is the ability to input my 
    count and> > see how it plays.  Most EW programs do not have 
    this option,> > but if I recall correctly ELWave does.  
    FWIW.> >> >   best wishes,> 
    >   karen> >   ps - May the force be with 
    you.> >   :>)> >   :>)> 
    >> >   ----- Original Message -----> 
    >   From: "jeff97_98_1998" <<A 
    href="mailto:jprroth@xxxxxxxxxxx";>jprroth@xxxxxxxxxxx>> 
    >   To: <<A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> 
    >   Sent: Sunday, July 07, 2002 9:50 AM> 
    >   Subject: [RT] Re: forecasting-track record> 
    >> >> >   >> >   
    > "If one tries to fight these forces they will be destroyed. If 
    one> >   > can unite and redirect these forces 
    to> >   > ones advantage, one should be able to 
    progress quite swiftly."> >   >> 
    >   >> >   > Sounds like a re-run of 
    Kung Fu.> >   > Grasshopper, my son, be of unity with 
    the universe.> >   > Now catch this fly in my 
    soup.> >   >> >   > Please 
    enlighten me, how does one unite and redirect> > these forces 
    to> >   > ones advantage?> >   
    >> >   > How do I redirect a drought in the 
    midwest, terrorist> > attack crashing> >   
    > the S & P , lumber import regulations vs. canadian exports?> 
    >   >> >   > Fundamentals, 
    schmundamentals, blah, blah.> >   >> 
    >   > I have the force, the unity, the polarity...> 
    >   >> >   > Beam me up Scotty,  
    for I have discovered how markets> >   > work,  
    yet I waste my time trolling for fish.> >   > Why is 
    that?> >   >> >   >> 
    >   >> >   >> >   
    >> >   >> >   >> 
    >   > --- In <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@x";>realtraders@x..., "Norman Winski" <<A 
    href="mailto:nwinski@x";>nwinski@x...> wrote:> >   
    > > Reinar,> >   > >> 
    >   > >   From one sailor to another, when 
    one's sailboat hits> > a sand bar,> >   > 
    that's> >   > > called running a ground and that's 
    not a good thing.> >   > >> 
    >   > >  I know it's time for me to take a vacation. 
    Your> > sailing metaphor> >   > is> 
    >   > > starting to make sense to me.<G>  
    Seriously, I agree> > that sailing> >   > 
    is a good> >   > > analogy for trading, but not 
    for the reasons you have stated. I> >   > 
    think> >   > > sailing is a good analogy for 
    trading because in order to be> >   > successful, 
    one> >   > > must join with the huge natural 
    forces at work.  If one tries to> >   > fight 
    these> >   > > forces they will be destroyed. If 
    one can unite and> > redirect these> >   > 
    forces to> >   > > ones advantage, one should be 
    able to progress quite swiftly.> >   > >> 
    >   > >  Gann fans - the ideal position to attain 
    maximum speed> > is to have> >   > the 
    sail> >   > > at a 45 degree angle to the 
    wind.> >   > >> >   > > 
    Nautically,> >   > >> >   > 
    > Norman> >   > >> >   > 
    >> >   > >> >   > > 
    ----- Original Message -----> >   > > From: 
    "reinar2020" <<A 
    href="mailto:reinar2020@x";>reinar2020@x...>> >   
    > > To: <<A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@x";>realtraders@x...>> 
    >   > > Sent: Sunday, July 07, 2002 12:33 AM> 
    >   > > Subject: Re: [RT] forecasting-track 
    record> >   > >> >   > 
    >> >   > > > Elk> >   
    > > >> >   > > > Not only will I 
    continue to use sailing as a metaphor> > but I will> 
    >   > > > expand the use. There are several reasons. 
    Selling to "the> >   > traders"> 
    >   > > > market is too limiting and more imortant.... 
    If you can think> >   > like a> 
    >   > > > sailor you can think like a profitable 
    trader......> >   > > >> 
    >   > > >> >   > > > If 
    you have ever been sailing you would know that it> > is kind of 
    a> >   > > > zen like experience where you have 
    a very specific> > focus. All the> >   > 
    BS> >   > > > that is provided by the media etc 
    is gone.> >   > > >> >   
    > > > There are other advantages. Any monkey can draw an> 
    > Andrews line> >   > and> >   
    > > > if you read his totally incomplete "free" 60 page> 
    > lit.... at any> >   > > > time there are 
    at least 20 or so that come in> > tomorrow. So which> 
    >   > > > ones do you use? Rather than take the 
    standard> > approach of here> >   > 
    are> >   > > > the lines .....let get 
    overwhelmed with stuff that is> > useless.....> 
    >   > > >> >   > > > I 
    will focus upon about 3 kinds of sand bars and a marker.> 
    >   > > > I did something similar in Vienna seminars 
    and the> > sucess rate of> >   > > > 
    the students over a long time period was very high.> >   
    > > >> >   > > > Focus upon the 
    chicken ( the end result.. you really> > want ) not on> 
    >   > > > the eggs.> >   > > 
    >> >   > > > We look for 4 things...> 
    >   > > >> >   > > > 1) 
    sand bars (support and resistance lines) where> > prices stop 
    for> >   > a> >   > > > 
    bar or 2 and then go through> >   > > >> 
    >   > > > 2) sand bars where prices go through and 
    then go back to it to> >   > touch> 
    >   > > > it before continuing in the proper 
    direction> >   > > >> >   
    > > > (the above are very handy for adding on positions or> 
    > getting in> >   > with> >   
    > > > definable risk....the other side of the sand bar 
    line)> >   > > >> >   > 
    > > 3) and finally sand bars that are likely to produce a> > 
    tradeable> >   > > > pivot ....like i pointed 
    out on thursday in an email> > I sent out.> 
    >   > > >> >   > > > 4) 
    and then how to find markers (probable future pivot points)> 
    >   > > >> >   > > > Now 
    instead of learning how to draw all of those> > silly lines 
    you> >   > > > learned how to draw lines that 
    produced the above> > .......wouldn't> >   
    > > > Andrews really work .....and very easily at that?> 
    >   > > >> >   > > > Oh 
    by the way did you ever learn what the Andrews> > "ROS" line 
    was?> >   > > > Hint....its a sand bar.> 
    >   > > >> >   > > 
    >> >   > > > Regards> 
    >   > > > R> >   > > 
    >> >   > > >> >   > 
    > >> >   > > > --- In <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@x";>realtraders@x..., Infernal Elk> > 
    <infernalelk@x...> wrote:> 
    >   > > > >> >   > > > 
    > >>  John either you are blind or you faded the 
    forecast.> >   > > > > >>  ...or 
    does north mean go short to you?> >   > > > 
    >> >   > > > > >>  R> 
    >   > > > >> >   > > > 
    > maybe if you spoke in market terms rather than> > cryptic 
    pseudo-> >   > > > poetic> 
    >   > > > > "nautical" terms, people would 
    understand you.> >   > > > >> 
    >   > > > > if your desire is to communicate, then 
    do so> > CLEARLY.  if your> >   > > 
    > desire> >   > > > > is to tease and to 
    draw people in to buy your> > product you'll do> 
    >   > > > better> >   > > 
    > > to speak clearly as well.> >   > > > 
    >> >   > > > > we're not sailors.  
    we're traders.> >   > > > >> 
    >   > > > > - *lk> >   > 
    > >> >   > > >> >   
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