RE: [RT] Investing now & cycles #1

["M. Simms" <prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Wow - nice 
chart.....but am I wrong on this:
The Dow Jones 
essentially WENT NOWHERE between 1965 and 1983, a period of 18 YEARs 
??
yes, it rocked 
and rolled in between, but I am talking buy and hold here.
<FONT color=#0000ff 
size=2> 
Could the market 
of 2002 -> 2020 be in for a similar fate ?
 
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  <FONT face=Tahoma 
  size=2>-----Original Message-----From: wavemechanic 
  [mailto:wd78@xxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Sunday, June 30, 2002 12:25 
  AMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] 
  Investing now & cycles #1
   
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    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
    SLAWEKP@xxxxxxx 
    
    To: <A 
    title=REALTRADERS@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="mailto:REALTRADERS@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>REALTRADERS@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Saturday, June 29, 2002 1:07 
    PM
    Subject: [RT] Investing now & 
    cycles #1
    Yes, repeating cycle is absolutely correct.It proved 
    to me many times that not watching TV, not reading newspapers, not 
    applying fundamentals or geopolitical events but following very long, 
    long & intermediate cycles will keep your investments on right 
    side.In fall of 1999 in  search of irregular B- wave top found 
    chapter  on Benner- Fibonacci cycle in book  that I purchased 
    13 years ago (nice FIBO #) . After study I was amazed of its accuracy. 
    The theory was developed in 1875 almost 124 yrs ago & predicted all 
    major market swings & crashes incl., 1929, 1987 well known to us 
    short term mortals.At that point chart ended as low in 1987. I 
    applied same methodology to that chart. It told me that we should have 
    low in 1995 (market made low in Dec 1994, 1 month before 1995), then 
    rally to 2000 (march 2000 top in most bubble up Nasdaq index). I shared 
    this chart with one of member of this group Howard Bernstein. At the 
    time people would stone me to death for such forecast, so I keep it for 
    my own use. Accordingly I adjusted my business by trimming capital 
    spending & expenses & saving cash to survive downturn. At the 
    time my competitors expended by borrowing. After 9-11 received few call 
    from them if I want to buy them out. Few months later got calls from 
    their lenders if I do not want take over inventory from 
    liquidation.Benner chart served me well in business as well shorting 
    stocks. As You can see Benner was not influenced by media, geopolitical 
    events or new unknown to him technology discovery.Man is genius. His 
    next low point is 2003In attached Benner-Fibocycle pdf written by Robert 
    Prechtor he mention Benners work on page #8 chart #6.I named 
    this chart  "$milloin dollar chart." If You CEO of big corp. & 
    have knowledge of power of this chart You would not made capital 
    expansions, preserve cash, stop taking more debt & saved millions of 
    shareholders investments  $$$ in Your company.From shorter 
    cycles, Martin Armstrong 8.6 yr. cycle due Nov 2002 predicted in 1999 
    where he said every 8.6 years there is GLOBAL Capital shift in markets. 
    At this point we know world is parting away from US $$$$$. His date 
    could be acceleration or low for dollar. That remain to be 
    seen.Intermediate cycles, Sun-Mars cycle 25.8 months (110-112 
    weeks) developed by James Brock of Triad Research and lately 
    rediscovered  by researcher Steve Puetz.This cycle is part of 
    Armstrong cycle (4 X 25.8 months =103.2 m =8.6 yr.) & points to 
    bad fall/ winter of 2002then most important is famous 9 month cycle 
    due 6-21-2002.if You take 9-21-01 & add 9 months = 6-21-02.9 
    month cycle is part of Armstrong 8.6 yr. cycle12 X 8.6 months = 103.2 
    months = 8.6 yrs8.6 months is close enough to 9 months for such 
    length of cycleThen very short term cycles 10 & 20 weeks all 
    arrivedon low due 9-21-01 & now 6-21-02,when 10 , 20 week & 
    9 month (40 weeks) cycles clustering on same dates  the more power 
    to decline.in addition  20 yr cycle give warning sell short 
    may 12th till June 21st 40 yr cycle (20 x 
    2)       sell short  march 16th till June 
    25th SlawekPs. since attach are to large & my 
    email was returned I will split in few series with # 
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