Re: [RT] Investing now & cycles #1

["wavemechanic" <wd78@xxxxxxxxxxxx>]

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  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
  SLAWEKP@xxxxxxx 
  
  To: <A title=REALTRADERS@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:REALTRADERS@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>REALTRADERS@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Saturday, June 29, 2002 1:07 
  PM
  Subject: [RT] Investing now & cycles 
  #1
  Yes, repeating cycle is absolutely correct.It proved to 
  me many times that not watching TV, not reading newspapers, not applying 
  fundamentals or geopolitical events but following very long, long & 
  intermediate cycles will keep your investments on right side.In 
  fall of 1999 in  search of irregular B- wave top found chapter  on 
  Benner- Fibonacci cycle in book  that I purchased 13 years ago (nice 
  FIBO #) . After study I was amazed of its accuracy. The theory was 
  developed in 1875 almost 124 yrs ago & predicted all major market 
  swings & crashes incl., 1929, 1987 well known to us short term 
  mortals.At that point chart ended as low in 1987. I applied same 
  methodology to that chart. It told me that we should have low in 1995 
  (market made low in Dec 1994, 1 month before 1995), then rally to 2000 
  (march 2000 top in most bubble up Nasdaq index). I shared this chart with 
  one of member of this group Howard Bernstein. At the time people would 
  stone me to death for such forecast, so I keep it for my own use. 
  Accordingly I adjusted my business by trimming capital spending & 
  expenses & saving cash to survive downturn. At the time my competitors 
  expended by borrowing. After 9-11 received few call from them if I want to 
  buy them out. Few months later got calls from their lenders if I do not 
  want take over inventory from liquidation.Benner chart served me well in 
  business as well shorting stocks. As You can see Benner was not influenced 
  by media, geopolitical events or new unknown to him technology 
  discovery.Man is genius. His next low point is 2003In attached 
  Benner-Fibocycle pdf written by Robert Prechtor he mention Benners work on 
  page #8 chart #6.I named this chart  "$milloin dollar chart." 
  If You CEO of big corp. & have knowledge of power of this chart You 
  would not made capital expansions, preserve cash, stop taking more debt 
  & saved millions of shareholders investments  $$$ in Your 
  company.From shorter cycles, Martin Armstrong 8.6 yr. cycle due Nov 
  2002 predicted in 1999 where he said every 8.6 years there is GLOBAL 
  Capital shift in markets. At this point we know world is parting away from 
  US $$$$$. His date could be acceleration or low for dollar. That remain to 
  be seen.Intermediate cycles, Sun-Mars cycle 25.8 months (110-112 
  weeks) developed by James Brock of Triad Research and lately 
  rediscovered  by researcher Steve Puetz.This cycle is part of 
  Armstrong cycle (4 X 25.8 months =103.2 m =8.6 yr.) & points to 
  bad fall/ winter of 2002then most important is famous 9 month cycle 
  due 6-21-2002.if You take 9-21-01 & add 9 months = 6-21-02.9 month 
  cycle is part of Armstrong 8.6 yr. cycle12 X 8.6 months = 103.2 months = 
  8.6 yrs8.6 months is close enough to 9 months for such length of 
  cycleThen very short term cycles 10 & 20 weeks all arrivedon 
  low due 9-21-01 & now 6-21-02,when 10 , 20 week & 9 month (40 
  weeks) cycles clustering on same dates  the more power to 
  decline.in addition  20 yr cycle give warning sell short may 
  12th till June 21st 40 yr cycle (20 x 
  2)       sell short  march 16th till June 
  25th SlawekPs. since attach are to large & my 
  email was returned I will split in few series with # 
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