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Yes, repeating cycle is absolutely correct.
It proved to me many times that not watching TV, not reading newspapers, not
applying fundamentals or geopolitical events but following very long, long &
intermediate cycles will keep your investments on right side.
In fall of 1999 in search of irregular B- wave top found chapter on Benner-
Fibonacci cycle in book that I purchased 13 years ago (nice FIBO #) . After
study I was amazed of its accuracy. The theory was developed in 1875 almost
124 yrs ago & predicted all major market swings & crashes incl., 1929, 1987
well known to us short term mortals.
At that point chart ended as low in 1987.
I applied same methodology to that chart.
It told me that we should have low in 1995 (market made low in Dec 1994, 1
month before 1995), then rally to 2000 (march 2000 top in most bubble up
Nasdaq index). I shared this chart with one of member of this group Howard
Bernstein.
At the time people would stone me to death for such forecast, so I keep it
for my own use. Accordingly I adjusted my business by trimming capital
spending & expenses & saving cash to survive downturn. At the time my
competitors expended by borrowing. After 9-11 received few call from them if
I want to buy them out. Few months later got calls from their lenders if I do
not want take over inventory from liquidation.
Benner chart served me well in business as well shorting stocks. As You can
see Benner was not influenced by media, geopolitical events or new unknown to
him technology discovery.
Man is genius. His next low point is 2003
In attached Benner-Fibocycle pdf written by Robert Prechtor he mention
Benners work on page #8 chart #6.
I named this chart "$milloin dollar chart."
If You CEO of big corp. & have knowledge of power of this chart You would not
made capital expansions, preserve cash, stop taking more debt & saved
millions of shareholders investments $$$ in Your company.
>From shorter cycles, Martin Armstrong 8.6 yr. cycle due Nov 2002 predicted in
1999 where he said every 8.6 years there is GLOBAL Capital shift in markets.
At this point we know world is parting away from US $$$$$. His date could be
acceleration or low for dollar. That remain to be seen.
Intermediate cycles,
Sun-Mars cycle 25.8 months (110-112 weeks) developed by James Brock of Triad
Research and lately rediscovered by researcher Steve Puetz.
This cycle is part of Armstrong cycle
(4 X 25.8 months =103.2 m =8.6 yr.) & points to bad fall/ winter of 2002
then most important is famous 9 month cycle due 6-21-2002.
if You take 9-21-01 & add 9 months = 6-21-02.
9 month cycle is part of Armstrong 8.6 yr. cycle
12 X 8.6 months = 103.2 months = 8.6 yrs
8.6 months is close enough to 9 months for such length of cycle
Then very short term cycles 10 & 20 weeks all arrived
on low due 9-21-01 & now 6-21-02,
when 10 , 20 week & 9 month (40 weeks) cycles clustering on same dates the
more power to decline.
in addition
20 yr cycle give warning sell short may 12th till June 21st
40 yr cycle (20 x 2) sell short march 16th till June 25th
Slawek
Ps. since attach are to large & my email was returned I will split in few
series with #
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