|
PureBytes Links
Trading Reference Links
|
I'm pretty impressed - Bond guru Bill Gross called for a rally 4 weeks ago.
With inflation heating-up by all of the government spending, this is
contrary to "normal" behavior.
A good bet would be a bond top this summer.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Earl Adamy [mailto:eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, June 14, 2002 12:51 PM
> To: gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx; Realtraders
> Subject: [RT] Re: [gannsghost] Which Way Bonds?
>
>
> Bond target minimum is now 104-13, likely higher.
>
> Earl
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>; "Realtraders"
> <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, June 13, 2002 11:46 AM
> Subject: Re: [gannsghost] Which Way Bonds?
>
>
> > Sticking my neck out here a bit, however my work is suggesting
> that bonds
> > will move a bit higher ... specifically to the 103-24 area. While AGet
> > counts are displayed on the chart, I prefer my own counts which are
> labeled
> > W.A through W.C. The internal structure of the hourly and fifteen minute
> > charts appear to support the idea that W.C is not yet complete. Also of
> note
> > is that a cup and handle, which was forming on the weekly yield chart,
> > appears to be breaking down. Finally, CRB/US Weekly appears to
> be rolling
> > over. My own view is that bonds will rally as equities roll over into a
> > final low (and corresponding high in bonds) on or before 10July. Aside
> from
> > unmet price targets in equities, I am not yet satisfied with Wednesday's
> > high in VIX.
> >
> > Earl
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "topos8" <topos8@xxxxxxx>
> > To: <gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Thursday, June 13, 2002 11:13 AM
> > Subject: [gannsghost] Which Way Bonds?
> >
> >
> > > Bruce and I are on opposite sides of bond boulevard so I just wanted
> > > to reiterate my views on bonds. These are the result of my price -
> > > square - time calculations using the square of 9.
> > >
> > > First, I am convinced the bonds are in a bear market which began last
> > > November 1 at 112-18 (Dec '01 contract)(see my post GG #7510 of
> > > October 31, 2001). My current estimate for the ultimate low is the 92-
> > > 94 range.
> > >
> > > I have attempted to pick the tops of the big corrective rallies we
> > > have had since November 1. On February 22 (GG#9410)(September '02
> > > contract high 102-26), May 1 (GG#11547)(September '02 contract high
> > > 101-30) and May 31 (GG#12590) (September '02 contract high 101-21) I
> > > said that the rally top had occured and that a move to new lows for
> > > the bear market would begin.
> > >
> > > The February 22 and May 1 calls were followed by big breaks but each
> > > of these ended at a higher low (although the cash market low on March
> > > 15 was in fact lower than its December 18 low). Only a 2 day break
> > > followed my May 31 message.
> > >
> > > Today the September contract traded as high as 102-30, just a tad
> > > above its February 22 top, and the cash market is still below its
> > > February top. I think that the rally is over and that we are now
> > > headed down about 10 points in the bond futures over the next few
> > > months.
> > >
> > > Carl
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > gannsghost-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxx
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
> http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
> > >
> > >
> > >
> >
> >
> > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > gannsghost-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxx
> >
> >
> >
> > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
> http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
> >
> >
>
>
>
> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
>
>
------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~-->
Will You Find True Love?
Will You Meet the One?
Free Love Reading by phone!
http://us.click.yahoo.com/Deo18C/zDLEAA/Ey.GAA/zMEolB/TM
---------------------------------------------------------------------~->
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
|