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Re: [RT] put/call



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I ended up with a reversal sell signal for the spoos on Thursday. I 
have one working for the Qs which (will)/(will not) confirm by Tuesday 
of next week. 

Ned

--- In realtraders@xxxx, "Lee Morris" <LMorris@xxxx> wrote:
> I think that we will take out the recent lows by a little over the 
next
> several weeks. I see 1050-60 as final near term low. Charts latter
>   -----Original Message-----
>   From: Steve Walker [mailto:steve@x...]
>   Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2002 7:03 AM
>   To: nwinski@xxxx; realtraders@xxxx
>   Subject: Re: [RT] put/call
> 
> 
>   I am getting conflicting signals from my favored indicators.  
Sentiment
>   is telling me to look Long and advance decline is saying look to 
Sell.
>   I think Norman is right to wait for resolution next week.  I have 
some
>   Price and Time clusters at weeks end which coincide with the Univ 
of
>   Michigan consumer sentiment final report for Feb.  After the 
preliminary
>   report rattled the markets Friday, this could be an important 
juncture.
> 
>   >>> nwinski@xxxx 02/15/02 08:45PM >>>
>   Jeff,
> 
>      I also watch these type of numbers. However, I have noticed 
spikes
>   in the
>   numbers just before option expiration which tend to evaporate the 
day
>   after
>   expiration. This says to me to take any extreme numbers on 
expiration
>   day
>   with a grain of salt. If too much bearishness, via the option 
numbers,
>   continues on Tuesday, then I will get excited that a low is near.
> 
>   Cheers,
> 
>   Norman
> 
>   ----- Original Message -----
>   From: "Jeff Haferman" <jeff_haferman@xxxx>
>   To: <realtraders@xxxx>
>   Sent: Friday, February 15, 2002 8:03 PM
>   Subject: [RT] put/call
> 
> 
>   >
>   > CBOE total put/call ratio for today Fri 2/15/2002 was 1.15...
>   > here are the 10 highest put/call ratios since 1997:
>   >
>   > 1.27 10/08/1998
>   > 1.27 09/20/2001
>   > 1.23 09/21/2001
>   > 1.17 09/03/1998
>   > 1.17 08/21/1998
>   > 1.15 02/15/2002
>   > 1.14 09/17/2001
>   > 1.14 08/31/1998
>   > 1.13 09/18/2001
>   > 1.12 09/17/1998
>   >
>   > So today is #6 on the list...
>   >
>   > 4 of these ratios took place just after Sept 11, and can be
>   > associated with "a" market bottom.
>   >
>   > 10/8/1998 was a market bottom, and 8/21/1998, 8/31/1998, 
9/3/1998,
>   > and 9/17/1998 were "fakes" leading up to the bottom.
>   >
>   > This info is free, take it for what its worth :)
>   >
>   >
>   >
>   >
>   >
>   >
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