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I
think that we will take out the recent lows by a little over the next several
weeks. I see 1050-60 as final near term low. Charts latter
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Steve Walker
[mailto:steve@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2002
7:03 AMTo: nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx;
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT]
put/callI am getting conflicting signals from my
favored indicators. Sentimentis telling me to look Long and advance
decline is saying look to Sell. I think Norman is right to wait for
resolution next week. I have somePrice and Time clusters at weeks
end which coincide with the Univ ofMichigan consumer sentiment final
report for Feb. After the preliminaryreport rattled the markets
Friday, this could be an important juncture.>>>
nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 02/15/02 08:45PM
>>>Jeff, I also watch these type of numbers.
However, I have noticed spikesin thenumbers just before option
expiration which tend to evaporate the dayafterexpiration. This says
to me to take any extreme numbers on expirationdaywith a grain of
salt. If too much bearishness, via the option numbers,continues on
Tuesday, then I will get excited that a low is
near.Cheers,Norman----- Original Message
-----From: "Jeff Haferman" <jeff_haferman@xxxxxxxxx>To:
<realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Friday, February 15, 2002 8:03
PMSubject: [RT] put/call>> CBOE total put/call ratio
for today Fri 2/15/2002 was 1.15...> here are the 10 highest put/call
ratios since 1997:>> 1.27 10/08/1998> 1.27
09/20/2001> 1.23 09/21/2001> 1.17 09/03/1998> 1.17
08/21/1998> 1.15 02/15/2002> 1.14 09/17/2001> 1.14
08/31/1998> 1.13 09/18/2001> 1.12 09/17/1998>> So
today is #6 on the list...>> 4 of these ratios took place just
after Sept 11, and can be> associated with "a" market
bottom.>> 10/8/1998 was a market bottom, and 8/21/1998,
8/31/1998, 9/3/1998,> and 9/17/1998 were "fakes" leading up to the
bottom.>> This info is free, take it for what its worth
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