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Agreed. As I noted, some of the extreme Put/Call numbers in the
past were "fakes". We shall see...
Norman Winski wrote:
>Jeff,
>
> I also watch these type of numbers. However, I have noticed spikes in the
>numbers just before option expiration which tend to evaporate the day after
>expiration. This says to me to take any extreme numbers on expiration day
>with a grain of salt. If too much bearishness, via the option numbers,
>continues on Tuesday, then I will get excited that a low is near.
>
>Cheers,
>
>Norman
>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Jeff Haferman" <jeff_haferman@xxxxxxxxx>
>To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>Sent: Friday, February 15, 2002 8:03 PM
>Subject: [RT] put/call
>
>
>>
>> CBOE total put/call ratio for today Fri 2/15/2002 was 1.15...
>> here are the 10 highest put/call ratios since 1997:
>>
>> 1.27 10/08/1998
>> 1.27 09/20/2001
>> 1.23 09/21/2001
>> 1.17 09/03/1998
>> 1.17 08/21/1998
>> 1.15 02/15/2002
>> 1.14 09/17/2001
>> 1.14 08/31/1998
>> 1.13 09/18/2001
>> 1.12 09/17/1998
>>
>> So today is #6 on the list...
>>
>> 4 of these ratios took place just after Sept 11, and can be
>> associated with "a" market bottom.
>>
>> 10/8/1998 was a market bottom, and 8/21/1998, 8/31/1998, 9/3/1998,
>> and 9/17/1998 were "fakes" leading up to the bottom.
>>
>> This info is free, take it for what its worth :)
>>
>>
>>
>>
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