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Great call, Ben.
--- In realtraders@xxxx, profitok <profitok@xxxx> wrote:
> I have 80% probability that NASDAQ and sp500 will make a higher
high
> tomorrow and close DOWN
> nice evening
> Ben
> p.s
> 10 to 1 on the open interest is the only place to bet the house
> so yes will not close above that for sure
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Terry B. Rhodes" <trhodes3@xxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> Sent: Wednesday, February 13, 2002 10:44 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] betting the house
>
>
> >
> > > Currently based on the open interest from the cboe of the
Feb. qqq,,
> here is where I am leaning for the close on Fri.
> > > between 36 and 37
> > > my bet is 36.5
> > > bet the house is will NOT close under 35
> > > bet the house it will not close above 39.5
> > > nice day
> > > Ben
> >
> > If I understand your original post shouldn't I bet the house that
> > the Qs will not close above 43. This is the first strike where
> > the call/put open interest ratio is above 10. The ratio for the
> > 39 strike is only about 2.
> >
> > FWIW, totally unrelated, I exited a short position in the Qs 4
> > days ago and am looking to reenter short at the first sign of
> > weakness, seems like anything over 37.5 would be a gift, with a
> > 38.7 stop
> >
> > regards,
> >
> > tbr
> >
> >
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