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Re: [RT] betting the house



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I   have 80% probability that  NASDAQ and sp500 will make a higher high
tomorrow and close DOWN
nice evening
Ben
p.s
10 to  1   on the open interest  is the only place to bet the house
so yes will not close above that for sure
----- Original Message -----
From: "Terry B. Rhodes" <trhodes3@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, February 13, 2002 10:44 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] betting the house


>
> > Currently  based on the open interest  from the cboe of the Feb. qqq,,
here is where I am leaning for the close on Fri.
> > between  36 and 37
> > my bet is 36.5
> > bet the house  is will NOT  close under 35
> > bet the house it will not close above 39.5
> > nice day
> > Ben
>
> If I understand your original post shouldn't I bet the house that
> the Qs will not close above 43. This is the first strike where
> the call/put open interest ratio is above 10. The ratio for the
> 39 strike is only about 2.
>
> FWIW, totally unrelated, I exited a short position in the Qs 4
> days ago and am looking to reenter short at the first sign of
> weakness, seems like anything over 37.5 would be a gift, with a
> 38.7 stop
>
> regards,
>
> tbr
>
>
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