|
PureBytes Links
Trading Reference Links
|
thanks for the complement,,
however that probability only happens every 34 days
best regards
Ben
p.s
I do take advantage of it with conservative money
----- Original Message -----
From: "bondo92677" <bruce.larson@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, February 14, 2002 7:37 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] betting the house
>
> Great call, Ben.
>
> --- In realtraders@xxxx, profitok <profitok@xxxx> wrote:
> > I have 80% probability that NASDAQ and sp500 will make a higher
> high
> > tomorrow and close DOWN
> > nice evening
> > Ben
> > p.s
> > 10 to 1 on the open interest is the only place to bet the house
> > so yes will not close above that for sure
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Terry B. Rhodes" <trhodes3@xxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, February 13, 2002 10:44 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] betting the house
> >
> >
> > >
> > > > Currently based on the open interest from the cboe of the
> Feb. qqq,,
> > here is where I am leaning for the close on Fri.
> > > > between 36 and 37
> > > > my bet is 36.5
> > > > bet the house is will NOT close under 35
> > > > bet the house it will not close above 39.5
> > > > nice day
> > > > Ben
> > >
> > > If I understand your original post shouldn't I bet the house that
> > > the Qs will not close above 43. This is the first strike where
> > > the call/put open interest ratio is above 10. The ratio for the
> > > 39 strike is only about 2.
> > >
> > > FWIW, totally unrelated, I exited a short position in the Qs 4
> > > days ago and am looking to reenter short at the first sign of
> > > weakness, seems like anything over 37.5 would be a gift, with a
> > > 38.7 stop
> > >
> > > regards,
> > >
> > > tbr
> > >
> > >
> > > _________________________________________________________
> > >
> > > Do You Yahoo!?
> > >
> > > Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxx
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
> http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
> > >
> > >
>
>
>
> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
>
>
------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~-->
Get your FREE credit report with a FREE CreditCheck
Monitoring Service trial
http://us.click.yahoo.com/ACHqaB/bQ8CAA/ySSFAA/zMEolB/TM
---------------------------------------------------------------------~->
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
|