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Treasury already announced there will be no 30 year in Feb. They
can't be that wishy washy.
If I have any balls, I'll be shorting bonds at 117 for at least some
kind of retrace. We'll see.
--- In realtraders@xxxx, Daniel Goncharoff <thegonch@xxxx> wrote:
> You are assuming that the 'younger' retirees will keep a substantial
> percentage in equities. The risk to that way of thinking is if we
> finally get to the psychology of a bottom, ie, Joe Public hates
stocks,
> and moves into bonds instead...
>
> And if I were running the Treasury (or a large corporation), I
would be
> waiting here for the big move into bonds *before* starting to take
> advantage of the demand for LT bonds and borrowing long.
>
> Regards
> DanG
>
> You wrote:
>
> Bruce,
>
> Examine your views of boomers and retirement. Retirement no longer
has
> the "gold watch at 65" definition. Think about it and it's impact
on
> sell
> equities/buy bonds.
>
> Regards,
> Mike
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