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Another poster here and I both agreed a while back the bond would top
out on Dec 19. December 19 is the last trade and delivery deadline
for December futures. There's going to be one heck of a mad scramble
when all the bond longs demand delivery come December. Who's going
to give'em up? Just watch. Its going to get real interesting. In
fact, I wouldn't be surprised if the exchange has to come in to alter
the rules. They did it for the German bobl contract in the mid 90s
when there was a big squeeze and the shorts couldn't deliver.
30 year UK gilts are at 4.3 vs 4.5 for UK ten years. Could be a good
proxy for things to come in the US.
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