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Lee,
Minor wave 5 of Wave 3
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "Lee Morris" <LMorris@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 11:34 AM
Subject: RE: [RT] bonds top?
> are saying it will change wave 5 of w3 to w3 of w3????
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Don Ewers [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 11:44 AM
> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>
>
> Chris,
> Here is the daily 10 year, as you suspected a wave 3 (which is a
> confirmation that the wave 5 on the daily will change to a wave 3 once
the
> 5/35 gets close to zero, the software will not change the count until
> then).
> don ewers
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: <chrischeatham@xxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 9:14 AM
> Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>
>
> > Don,
> >
> > Curious what aget thinks of 5s and 10s; To my eyes, looks much harder
> > to call it 5 complete on these; I now think of 10s as the primary
> > UST mkt.
> >
> > To me, eurodollars best count as 1,2 - 1,2 - in 3 -- on my 80 min.
> >
> > Regards,
> > Chris
> >
> >
> > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxx> wrote:
> > > It is possible everyone could be right?
> > >
> > > Attached are updated 60min and daily charts.
> > >
> > > The 60min includes the first hour today and is now has pattern
> > completion
> > > showing 5 waves in with the new high this morning. Now it is a
> > question of
> > > just how far it might go, the MOB target above being one possible
> > area but
> > > not a strict requirement either.
> > >
> > > The daily chart has today "what if'ed in" so far and it has shifted
> > the wave
> > > 5 top to this new high, but as I mentioned in the previous posts
> > the 5/35
> > > oscillator on the daily is indicating that this is likely a wave 3
> > not a
> > > wave 5. If true, a wave 4 will follow at some point (at which time
> > the
> > > "viability of a continued wave 5 up will be measured).
> > >
> > > So bonds could move higher in a wave 3, then go into a wave 4
> > correction and
> > > everyone is right . . . eventually that is?
> > >
> > > Crap, snowing here (laugh it up all those in warmer climates :-)
> > > don ewers
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 8:24 AM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > >
> > >
> > > > That is what logic would suggest, but the price is probing 107^11
> > with a
> > > > pattern of rising lows. This is indeed an interesting development
> > > > technically.
> > > >
> > > > bobr
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxx>
> > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 7:09 PM
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Re recent topping pattern.. bonds have gone down on bigger
> > volume on big
> > > > > down days than they have rallied back on up days... IF bonds
> > are going
> > > to
> > > > > break out then US$ will have to resume uptrend and volume will
> > have to
> > > > pick
> > > > > up on any break to new highs if that happens. US $ has given
> > target to
> > > > > 112.75 ala 116.15 nt so US$ action next few days maybe
> > telling.. IF top
> > > > not
> > > > > in bonds watch March Bonds for potential peak around
> > 111.24.....
> > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
> > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 9:07 PM
> > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > > The price distribution still looks suspect for day session
> > only data.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 5:58 PM
> > > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > > Bonds closed above this important 78% retracement today,
> > however I
> > > > don't
> > > > > > > have any wave counts on which I would hang my hat because
> > the 20Sep
> > > > > > decline
> > > > > > > was so violent and so quickly retraced. Best guess at the
> > moment is
> > > > that
> > > > > > > bonds are in a W.3 and should be headed to 111 area per
> > both daily
> > > and
> > > > > > > weekly charts.
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > > Earl
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
> > > > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
> > > > > > > Sent: Saturday, October 20, 2001 1:06 PM
> > > > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > Regarding earlier comments regarding the breach of the
> > 78% bullish
> > > > > > > > retracement level there was not a daily close above this
> > important
> > > > > level
> > > > > > > to
> > > > > > > > confirm the breach. Failure to close above this important
> > level is
> > > a
> > > > > > clue
> > > > > > > > that a correction may be underway.
> > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > Earl
> > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > >
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> > > > > > > >
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > >
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