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Re: [RT] bonds top?



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Lee,
Minor wave 5 of Wave 3
don ewers

----- Original Message -----
From: "Lee Morris" <LMorris@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 11:34 AM
Subject: RE: [RT] bonds top?


> are saying it will change wave 5 of w3 to w3 of w3????
>   -----Original Message-----
>   From: Don Ewers [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
>   Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 11:44 AM
>   To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>
>
>   Chris,
>   Here is the daily 10 year, as you suspected a wave 3 (which is a
>   confirmation that the wave 5 on the daily will change to a wave 3 once
the
>   5/35 gets close to zero, the software will not change the count until
> then).
>   don ewers
>   ----- Original Message -----
>   From: <chrischeatham@xxxxxxxxx>
>   To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>   Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 9:14 AM
>   Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>
>
>   > Don,
>   >
>   > Curious what aget thinks of 5s and 10s; To my eyes, looks much harder
>   > to call it 5 complete on these;  I now think of 10s as the primary
>   > UST mkt.
>   >
>   > To me, eurodollars best count as 1,2 - 1,2 - in 3 -- on my 80 min.
>   >
>   > Regards,
>   > Chris
>   >
>   >
>   > --- In realtraders@xxxx, "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxx> wrote:
>   > > It is possible everyone could be right?
>   > >
>   > > Attached are updated 60min and daily charts.
>   > >
>   > > The 60min includes the first hour today and is now has pattern
>   > completion
>   > > showing 5 waves in with the new high this morning.  Now it is a
>   > question of
>   > > just how far it might go, the MOB target above being one possible
>   > area but
>   > > not a strict requirement either.
>   > >
>   > > The daily chart has today "what if'ed in" so far and it has shifted
>   > the wave
>   > > 5 top to this new high, but as I mentioned in the previous posts
>   > the 5/35
>   > > oscillator on the daily is indicating that this is likely a wave 3
>   > not a
>   > > wave 5.  If true, a wave 4 will follow at some point (at which time
>   > the
>   > > "viability of a continued wave 5 up will be measured).
>   > >
>   > > So bonds could move higher in a wave 3, then go into a wave 4
>   > correction and
>   > > everyone is right . . . eventually that is?
>   > >
>   > > Crap, snowing here (laugh it up all those in warmer climates :-)
>   > > don ewers
>   > >
>   > > ----- Original Message -----
>   > > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
>   > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
>   > > Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 8:24 AM
>   > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>   > >
>   > >
>   > > > That is what logic would suggest, but the price is probing 107^11
>   > with a
>   > > > pattern of rising lows.  This is indeed an interesting development
>   > > > technically.
>   > > >
>   > > > bobr
>   > > >
>   > > > ----- Original Message -----
>   > > > From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxx>
>   > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
>   > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 7:09 PM
>   > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>   > > >
>   > > >
>   > > > > Re recent topping pattern.. bonds have gone down on bigger
>   > volume on big
>   > > > > down days than they have rallied back on up days... IF bonds
>   > are going
>   > > to
>   > > > > break out then US$ will have to resume uptrend and volume will
>   > have to
>   > > > pick
>   > > > > up on any break to new highs if that happens.  US $ has given
>   > target to
>   > > > > 112.75 ala 116.15 nt so US$ action next few days maybe
>   > telling..  IF top
>   > > > not
>   > > > > in  bonds watch March Bonds for potential peak around
>   > 111.24.....
>   > > > > ----- Original Message -----
>   > > > > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx>
>   > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
>   > > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 9:07 PM
>   > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>   > > > >
>   > > > >
>   > > > > > The price distribution still looks suspect for day session
>   > only data.
>   > > > > >
>   > > > > > ----- Original Message -----
>   > > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
>   > > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
>   > > > > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 5:58 PM
>   > > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>   > > > > >
>   > > > > >
>   > > > > > > Bonds closed above this important 78% retracement today,
>   > however I
>   > > > don't
>   > > > > > > have any wave counts on which I would hang my hat because
>   > the 20Sep
>   > > > > > decline
>   > > > > > > was so violent and so quickly retraced. Best guess at the
>   > moment is
>   > > > that
>   > > > > > > bonds are in a W.3 and should be headed to 111 area per
>   > both daily
>   > > and
>   > > > > > > weekly charts.
>   > > > > > >
>   > > > > > > Earl
>   > > > > > >
>   > > > > > > ----- Original Message -----
>   > > > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxx>
>   > > > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxx>
>   > > > > > > Sent: Saturday, October 20, 2001 1:06 PM
>   > > > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>   > > > > > >
>   > > > > > >
>   > > > > > > > Regarding earlier comments regarding the breach of the
>   > 78% bullish
>   > > > > > > > retracement level there was not a daily close above this
>   > important
>   > > > > level
>   > > > > > > to
>   > > > > > > > confirm the breach. Failure to close above this important
>   > level is
>   > > a
>   > > > > > clue
>   > > > > > > > that a correction may be underway.
>   > > > > > > >
>   > > > > > > > Earl
>   > > > > > > >
>   > > > > > > >
>   > > > > > > >
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