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RE: [RT] SPC 120min



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don, 
just following thru on the prev discussion, attached is the daily snp w/ 106 
bars from May high and the normal elip getting close, but the 10/70 still has 
not pulled back enough. To me it looks like we still may have more to the 
upside. I am still not sure how to tell if the advance should stop at the normal 
or the LT elip. Also note you were right that the PTI has continued to 
drop

  <FONT face=Tahoma 
  size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Don Ewers 
  [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Wednesday, October 03, 2001 
  1:47 PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] 
  SPC 120minLee,I am not sure if the 100 to 140 is 
  from the start of wave 1 to wave 3 oralso into the wave 4 count? I am not 
  sure he is all that clear on that.I just start with wave 1 and count 
  to the current bars (using the AGET toolin the lower right corner) and 
  like to see it near or in that 100 -140 barrange. It is a good tool to use 
  when analyzing internal wave counts of animpulse wave (finding the minor 
  4) for yet another Type 2 trade.Thanks for the charts, yes going to 
  180 would be correct in my mind.Damm bought 2500 EMC this am on the 
  open and traded it for a point at 12.72now at 12.23 . . . ?  A little 
  panic buying or short covering?don ewers----- Original Message 
  -----From: "Lee Morris" <LMorris@xxxxxxxxxx>To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Wednesday, October 03, 2001 12:23 
  PMSubject: RE: [RT] SPC 120min> That is very helpful I just 
  got williams book last week and will move itup> the reading list 
  based on your post. here is the chart you requested, but> the question 
  I'm having trouble w/ based on the attached chart is how can> you tell 
  if the normal elipise that is about to hit (or may have already> hit) 
  will stop the advance or after a small pullback it will rally on 
  tothe> LT elipise and actually that is the place I made my mistake 
  by thinkingthat> the ST elipise would hold it. I also notice that 
  the PTI has increase to34.> thks again for the detailed info from 
  williams I am aready looking at it.> Also wave c = wave a @ 
  1071>> based on the bar count which on the 120 min is 161 I am 
  also including the> 180 which has 120 bars.  So if I follow this 
  method when looking for theend> of wave 4 find a time pd chart that 
  has btw 100 and 140 bars btw the start> of w1 and the end of w3 then 
  focus on the 5/35 (which is still in controlon> the attached chart) 
  but then whats the trigger to know which elipise will> hold or do you 
  just need to wait for the LT to hit.>> thanks again for your 
  insight>   -----Original Message----->   
  From: Don Ewers [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]>   Sent: 
  Wednesday, October 03, 2001 12:36 PM>   To: 
  realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>   Subject: Re: [RT] SPC 
  120min>>>   Lee,>   I picked 
  up on it from a Bill Williams book called "Trading Chaos" 
  inthe>   Chapter 7 section for EW counts page 102 & 
  page 124 (in the chapter he> does>   give Tom Joseph 
  of AGET credit for the 5/35, but Williams actually 
  usesa>   5/34 MACD oscillator).  He discusses the 
  need to look at time frameswhere>   you have at least 100 
  to 140 bars for the oscillator to work right> 
  (actually>   pages 102 to 166 should be read and thoroughly 
  understood).>>   The statement made is:  "Our 
  research indicates that, for the most> accurate>   
  measurement, the wave under consideration should occupy from 100 to 
  140>   bars. If we are looking at a wave sequence of fewer 
  than 100 bars, the> MACD>   will be measuring the 
  Elliott wave of a larger degree.  If the wave> 
  sequence>   occupies more than 140 bars, the MACD will be 
  measuriung an Elliot waveof> a>   smaller 
  degree".>>   What it did for me is help indentify 
  whether the chart I was looking at> was>   of the 
  right 'time" frame if I planned on using the 5/35 to find wave 4.> 
  He>   also makes the comment that using the technique (p126) 
  will help most> people>   that use EW counts from 
  making the most commen mistake, namely counting> 
  wave>   3 inside of wave 3 as the end of wave 3 and then 
  counting wave 5 of wave3>   as a larger degree wave 5. 
  This would be similar to the question youposed>   to me 
  on your OEX post, namely is this wave 4 or just minor 4 of wave 3.> 
  To>   figure the answer out correctly the right time frame 
  chart has to be> looked>   
  at.>>   I see the 1065.92 Cash S&P high was just 
  hit, hmmm that is pretty closeto>   the 1066.38 50% 
  retracement W2 to W3 on the 60min chart.>>   Can you 
  take the TJ web off the 120min chart and put fib retracements> 
  (.382,>   .50,.618, .786) from the wave 2 to the w3? and 
  ellipse (short normal,> long)>   on also w2 to 
  w3.>   don ewers>>   ----- Original 
  Message ----->   From: "Lee Morris" 
  <LMorris@xxxxxxxxxx>>   To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>>   Sent: Wednesday, 
  October 03, 2001 10:27 AM>   Subject: RE: [RT] SPC 
  120min>>>   > the use of the # of bars is 
  interesting can you expand on the thoughts> of>   > 
  how the # of bars needed is determined and what "triggers you to move> 
  from>   > one chart to another based on bar count. here is 
  the 120 min on thesnp> w/>   a>   
  > pti of 30>   >   -----Original 
  Message----->   >   From: Don Ewers 
  [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]>   >   Sent: 
  Wednesday, October 03, 2001 10:56 AM>   >   To: 
  Real Traders>   >   Subject: [RT] SPC 
  120min>   >>   >>   
  >   Lee,>   >   My AGET is EOD and 
  as such limited to 60min, daily, weekly and> 
  monthly.>   >>   >   Can you 
  post a 120min chart of the SP cash with a 5/35 oscillator> 
  w/1.4>   > and>   >   10/70 
  oscillator w/1.4. Use whatever count the oscillator tell you?I> 
  am>   >   interested in the 
  PTI?>   >   don ewers>   
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