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It is possible everyone could be right?
Attached are updated 60min and daily charts.
The 60min includes the first hour today and is now has pattern completion
showing 5 waves in with the new high this morning. Now it is a question of
just how far it might go, the MOB target above being one possible area but
not a strict requirement either.
The daily chart has today "what if'ed in" so far and it has shifted the wave
5 top to this new high, but as I mentioned in the previous posts the 5/35
oscillator on the daily is indicating that this is likely a wave 3 not a
wave 5. If true, a wave 4 will follow at some point (at which time the
"viability of a continued wave 5 up will be measured).
So bonds could move higher in a wave 3, then go into a wave 4 correction and
everyone is right . . . eventually that is?
Crap, snowing here (laugh it up all those in warmer climates :-)
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 8:24 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> That is what logic would suggest, but the price is probing 107^11 with a
> pattern of rising lows. This is indeed an interesting development
> technically.
>
> bobr
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 7:09 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
>
>
> > Re recent topping pattern.. bonds have gone down on bigger volume on big
> > down days than they have rallied back on up days... IF bonds are going
to
> > break out then US$ will have to resume uptrend and volume will have to
> pick
> > up on any break to new highs if that happens. US $ has given target to
> > 112.75 ala 116.15 nt so US$ action next few days maybe telling.. IF top
> not
> > in bonds watch March Bonds for potential peak around 111.24.....
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 9:07 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> >
> >
> > > The price distribution still looks suspect for day session only data.
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 5:58 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > >
> > >
> > > > Bonds closed above this important 78% retracement today, however I
> don't
> > > > have any wave counts on which I would hang my hat because the 20Sep
> > > decline
> > > > was so violent and so quickly retraced. Best guess at the moment is
> that
> > > > bonds are in a W.3 and should be headed to 111 area per both daily
and
> > > > weekly charts.
> > > >
> > > > Earl
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > Sent: Saturday, October 20, 2001 1:06 PM
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Regarding earlier comments regarding the breach of the 78% bullish
> > > > > retracement level there was not a daily close above this important
> > level
> > > > to
> > > > > confirm the breach. Failure to close above this important level is
a
> > > clue
> > > > > that a correction may be underway.
> > > > >
> > > > > Earl
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
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> > > > >
> > > > >
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